btc

🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.

Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.

🔺 Stagflation risk

Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.

The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.

Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.

A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin

我有个北京的朋友，

把房子卖了，

把卖的800w在24年8月5日梭哈btc现货卸载了平台，

现在租房住，

今天问我 他自由了么我该怎么回？#btc

BTC bulls are getting wiped one after another.
That downside move still looks unfinished.
$BTC
🔴 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🔴
Long liquidation spotted 🧨
$656K cleared at $80628.20
Downside liquidity swept — watch reaction 👀
🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$80390
TP2: ~$80040
TP3: ~$79620
#btc

BTC bulls got trapped on that rebound.
Sellers slammed price right back down.
$BTC 🔴 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🔴
Long liquidation spotted 🧨
$291K cleared at $80850.00
Downside liquidity swept — watch reaction 👀
🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$80610
TP2: ~$80280
TP3: ~$79890
#btc

$BTC 下面开始亮了。
79k和80k很明显。
上面扫完一轮。
现在目标开始往下移。
多头要小心了 ⚠️

48小时清算图现在给的信号很直白。

79k和80k这两块，
已经变成接下来可能被扫的位置。

前面价格一路往上打，
空头清算被吃掉不少。

但现在上方燃料没那么多了，
下面反而开始堆起来。

这种时候市场最常见的走法就是：

先让大家觉得站稳了，
再突然往下踩一脚。

不一定是大级别反转，
但79k、80k这种位置，
很容易成为短线猎杀目标。

尤其是刚追进去的多头，
止损和强平往往就挤在这种整数位附近。

所以现在别只看82k上方能不能继续冲。

下面这两块清算，
市场迟早会盯上。

你觉得BTC会先扫79k–80k，还是还能再往上诱一波？👀$ETH $ZEC #btc

#btc
BTC上涨依然健康，资金费率是低一点了。8万下方有很多多单爆仓，或许有机会到这个位置。
BTC空单已止盈1，目前这个支撑很关键，不跌破继续涨，跌破才有机会看向78500-78000。

今日看法
做空（BTC还沒摸过顶，再找会）
1、0.618 同时也看一下CME缺口是否补上了

做多
1、79455 （是之前周月图的高高点）加上如果真的下杀8万， 这個价位也是不错的。
2、78318附近，如果只能选择一个，我会建议选择78318的POC格子

BTC buyers are getting flushed nonstop now.
That downside pressure hasn't eased yet.
$BTC
🔴 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🔴
Long liquidation spotted 🧨
$188K cleared at $80572
Downside liquidity swept — watch reaction 👀
🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$80340
TP2: ~$79990
TP3: ~$79550
#btc

#btc
兄弟们，82850应该见顶了吧！我们83100的止损差点被打掉，挺险，还好这波低倍杠杠分批策略是明智的,留足了空间可以补子弹。
这负费率好不容易磨平下来了，空军很多被干趴了，现在均衡了，空军也大部分不敢加仓或者加不动了，多军正兴奋牛回，诱多假突破陷阱形成？Ma周线120压力估计也不会一口气突破掉吧！
#BTC走势分析 #ETH

BTC couldn't hold the bounce.
Late longs got punished hard.
$BTC
🔴 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🔴
Long liquidation spotted 🧨
$299K cleared at $80838.31
Downside liquidity swept — watch reaction 👀
🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$80700
TP2: ~$80580
TP3: ~$80420
#btc

BTC still failing to reclaim strength
Every bounce getting sold instantly
$BTC
🔴 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🔴
Long liquidation spotted 🧨
$159K cleared at $80272.80
Downside liquidity swept — watch reaction 👀
🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$79800
TP2: ~$79200
TP3: ~$78500
#btc

BTC continues grinding lower with pressure
Liquidity still getting swept clean
$BTC
🔴 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🔴
Long liquidation spotted 🧨
$77.1K cleared at $79630.70
Downside liquidity swept — watch reaction 👀
🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$79200
TP2: ~$78800
TP3: ~$78200
#btc

$BTC 最怕的不是空头。
是最大买家松手。
马斯克当年一条消息就能砸盘。
Saylor手里可是80万枚级别。
这才是真正的核按钮 ⚠️

2021年，特斯拉只卖了10%的BTC持仓，
市场就直接被打懵。

那时候大家才发现一件事：

比特币不是不怕大户。
它只是还没遇到真正的大户卖压。

现在问题更大。

这一轮撑起BTC叙事的，
很大一部分来自Michael Saylor和Strategy。

他们不断买，
不断发债，
不断把BTC变成公司资产负债表的核心。

市场也慢慢形成一个默认预期：

跌了他们会接。
涨了他们还会买。
他们是最稳定的买盘。

但如果有一天剧本反过来呢？

如果这个最稳定的买家，
开始变成卖家？

那市场情绪会瞬间变味。

不是因为他一定会把80万枚全部砸出来。

而是只要他开始卖，
信仰就会先松。

因为BTC这轮行情里，
Saylor不是普通持有人。

他是叙事本身。

他能托住市场，
也能让市场重新定价风险。

所以真正的黑天鹅，
可能不是某个空头开仓，
而是最大多头开始撤退。

这条线必须盯。

你觉得Saylor永远只买不卖，还是迟早有一天市场要面对这个风险？👀$ETH $CL #btc

2026.5.7 #btc
加密市场最近波动率加大，昨日正如早盘预测的一样出现了多空双杀，但大饼的大周期不会一下就改变，如果近2日内不能放量突破83388，可能将迎来日周级别的调整回撤，昨日的主基调是冲高回落，今日的主基调有可能是先下杀再回拉在压力位横盘等风来。多头炒作和平协议的达成，要注意利好兑现后的风险。目前空军高位云集，今日反弹过后防备日线级别以下的空头共振。

#btc is on critical level now, if it closes below EMA 50, and a strong support $79500 (previous resistance) then its bullish trend will flip into bearish bias. $BTC

BTC continues slow liquidation bleed
Market structure still weak overall
$BTC
🔴 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🔴
Long liquidation spotted 🧨
$77.8K cleared at $79715.90
Downside liquidity swept — watch reaction 👀
🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$79200
TP2: ~$78800
TP3: ~$78200
#btc

BTC just wiped a massive liquidity cluster
Big players clearly cleaning longs
$BTC
🔴 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🔴
Long liquidation spotted 🧨
$823K cleared at $79623.00
Downside liquidity swept — watch reaction 👀
🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$79200
TP2: ~$78800
TP3: ~$78200
#btc