Most traders are watching the price.
Smart money is watching liquidity, ETF flows, and macro conditions.
๐ถ $BTC is still struggling around the $60K zone while buyers hesitate to step in aggressively. Recent weakness isn't just technicalโit's being driven by macro uncertainty and continued institutional caution.
๐ถ One of the biggest developments is Strategy's new plan that could allow up to $1.25B in Bitcoin monetization while also launching major share buybacks. Whether all of that BTC is sold or not, the market now has to price in a potential new source of supply.
๐ถ Spot Bitcoin ETFs have continued to experience heavy outflows throughout June, showing that institutional demand has not fully returned yet. Until those flows stabilize, every rally should be treated with caution.
My View
โก๏ธ Panic selling near major support has historically been one of the biggest mistakes.
โก๏ธ Chasing every small bounce is equally dangerous while institutional flows remain weak.
โก๏ธ The market is approaching an area where risk/reward is improving, but confirmation is still more important than prediction.
The next major trend will likely begin when liquidity returnsโnot when Crypto Twitter becomes bullish again.
Stay patient. Capital preservation comes before profit.
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