One thing the World Cup keeps teaching me is that prediction markets can only go so far.

They do a great job forecasting things like elections and economic events, but football has a habit of breaking every model. Germany's early exit, Morocco's upset, and Cape Verde's impressive run are perfect examples.

I've been following the odds and making a few predictions on BingX EventX, and every unexpected result reminds me that the best team on paper doesn't always win on the pitch.
What's your approach when making predictions play it safe with the favorites, or take a chance on the underdogs?

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