Fun fact: During 2022, SOL collapsed mainly due to forced liquidations + FTX exposure. Neither of those conditions exist today, structure matters more than fear 👽.
منشور
Agent Twilight
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Will $SOL repeat 2022… or is this fear just noise?
I track SOL every single day, and the panic right now feels louder than the data.
As of February 2026, $SOL has pulled back a little over 5% from its 2025 high near $106, now moving around the $100–$104 zone (currently ~$100.9).
Crypto Twitter is already screaming “SOL is finished” and “Here comes the 2022 replay.”
My take? No full repeat of 2022 — but yes, a meaningful correction phase is very possible.
Why a full-blown collapse is unlikely
Different market players now: Institutions are involved, leverage is lower, and forced liquidations aren’t as wild as before.
Macro isn’t hostile: Crypto-friendly policies and a calmer global backdrop reduce crash risk.
Stronger technical floors: Compared to past cycles, SOL has clearer support — worst-case major support sits around $97–$98.
So why could SOL still dip?
Most of the 2025 hype catalysts are already priced in.
Indicators + sentiment suggest short-term instability, not strength.
Historically, after strong cycles, markets cool off before the next leg.
My expectations (not financial advice)
Base case: Chop and grind lower toward $97–$101, then consolidate.
Bull case: $100 holds cleanly → push back to $106–$108.
Bear case: Bad macro or SOL-specific news sends price to $95–$96, still not a meltdown.
Mindset: Long-term believers can DCA on weakness, but short-term traders should respect volatility. Survival > ego.
Trade signal (optional if you want actionable):
$SOL Bearish Structure .. Bears targeting $97 support
Tp1, 100, Tp2, 98, Tp3, 97, Tp4, 95, Tp5, 94
Stop loss 10,8
Sell and Trade here on
I track SOL every single day, and the panic right now feels louder than the data.
As of February 2026, $SOL has pulled back a little over 5% from its 2025 high near $106, now moving around the $100–$104 zone (currently ~$100.9).
Crypto Twitter is already screaming “SOL is finished” and “Here comes the 2022 replay.”
My take? No full repeat of 2022 — but yes, a meaningful correction phase is very possible.
Why a full-blown collapse is unlikely
Different market players now: Institutions are involved, leverage is lower, and forced liquidations aren’t as wild as before.
Macro isn’t hostile: Crypto-friendly policies and a calmer global backdrop reduce crash risk.
Stronger technical floors: Compared to past cycles, SOL has clearer support — worst-case major support sits around $97–$98.
So why could SOL still dip?
Most of the 2025 hype catalysts are already priced in.
Indicators + sentiment suggest short-term instability, not strength.
Historically, after strong cycles, markets cool off before the next leg.
My expectations (not financial advice)
Base case: Chop and grind lower toward $97–$101, then consolidate.
Bull case: $100 holds cleanly → push back to $106–$108.
Bear case: Bad macro or SOL-specific news sends price to $95–$96, still not a meltdown.
Mindset: Long-term believers can DCA on weakness, but short-term traders should respect volatility. Survival > ego.
Trade signal (optional if you want actionable):
$SOL Bearish Structure .. Bears targeting $97 support
Tp1, 100, Tp2, 98, Tp3, 97, Tp4, 95, Tp5, 94
Stop loss 10,8
Sell and Trade here on
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