bearmarket

Když se bavíme o kryptu (nebo akciích), často slyšíš pojmy bull market a bear market. Co to vlastně znamená?
🐂 Bull Market (býčí trh)
Je období, kdy:
ceny dlouhodobě rostou
nálada na trhu je pozitivní
investoři věří v další růst
přichází noví lidé (retail, média, hype)
Typicky to vypadá tak, že:
Bitcoin roste → altcoiny rostou ještě víc
Každý sdílí screenshoty zisků
Slovo „korekce“ skoro nikdo nechce slyšet 😄
Býk útočí rohy směrem nahoru – proto symbol růstu.
👉 Příklad:
BTC vyroste z 25 000 USD na 60 000 USD během roku. Trh je plný optimismu = bull market.
🐻 Bear Market (medvědí trh)
Opak býčího trhu.
ceny dlouhodobě klesají
převažuje strach
lidé prodávají ve ztrátě
média píší „krypto je mrtvé“
Medvěd útočí tlapou shora dolů – proto symbol poklesu.
👉 Příklad:
BTC spadne z 60 000 USD na 20 000 USD. Altcoiny padají o 70–90 %. To je klasický bear market.
📊 Důležité pochopit
Každý trh funguje v cyklech:
Bull market → vrchol (ATH) → bear market → dno (ATL) → nový bull market.
Nejtěžší část?
Udržet emoce pod kontrolou.
V bull marketu nepodlehnout FOMO
V bear marketu nepanikařit kvůli FUD
🧠 Edu tip
Zkušení investoři často:
Nakupují v bear marketu
Realizují zisky během bull marketu
Ale timing trhu je extrémně těžký. Proto spousta lidí používá strategii DCA (pravidelné investování).
Bull market tě dělá sebevědomým.
Bear market tě dělá zkušeným.
A oba jsou potřeba 😉

#bullmarket
#bearmarket
#CryptoCycle
#cryptoeducation

📉 Bitcoin Market Reality (Short Dominant Phase)

$BTC Bitcoin keeps falling —

today, yesterday, and the day before.

Yes, this is a bear market,

but that doesn’t mean the market is dead.

It simply means shorts are in control right now.
After the ETF launch, the money that entered the market

has completed a full cycle and largely rotated out.

Some ETFs sold, some didn’t —

and a few may even be sitting at a loss.

Interestingly, Bitcoin is trading near

the same price range as during the ETF launch.
📊 200 Weekly Moving Average

Bitcoin is finding strong support around this level.

History shows that when BTC trades near the 200 WMA,

the market chooses time over panic.Around this zone,Bitcoin can move sideways for weeks

to:
shake out weak hands
liquidate overleveraged traders

allow smart money to build positions quietly

✍️ Market truth:

Shorts dominate as long as fear controls traders.

The market moves up only when most people believe

“there’s nothing left.”

👉 Conclusion:

This is not a phase of panic —

this is a phase of patience.

#bitcoin

#CryptoMarke

#bearmarket

#smartmoney y

Bitcoin’s latest downturn is reinforcing warnings from Bloomberg's Mike McGlone, who says the current cycle is starting to resemble previous major bear markets and could still have significant downside ahead.

Key Takeaways
Mike McGlone says Bitcoin’s current cycle resembles past bear markets and could face much deeper downside if equities weaken.He warns the 200-day moving average rollover is a classic signal of a prolonged downturn, despite possible short-term rallies.Heavy ETF activity and large corporate losses are reinforcing the stress McGlone sees building across the Bitcoin market.
McGlone has argued that Bitcoin’s recent price action mirrors earlier periods of deep market stress, when risk assets broadly declined alongside equities. He pointed to past cycles in which Bitcoin lost 50% or more of its value, noting that such drawdowns have been a recurring feature during prolonged downturns.
He reiterated that if a broader stock market correction unfolds, Bitcoin is unlikely to be spared. In that scenario, McGlone said prices could drift back toward levels last seen years ago, potentially near $10,000, as liquidity tightens and risk appetite fades across markets.

Technical Indicators Reinforce Bearish Outlook
According to McGlone, technical signals are aligning with his cautious stance. Bitcoin’s 200-day moving average has rolled over, a development that has historically been associated with extended bearish phases. While sharp countertrend rallies are common during bear markets, he cautioned that such moves are often temporary and can give false signals of recovery.
Even rebounds toward much higher levels, he said, would not necessarily invalidate the broader bearish structure if macro conditions remain under pressure.
IBIT Turmoil Highlights Institutional Stress
Recent developments in the ETF market appear to support McGlone’s concerns. The spot Bitcoin ETF IBIT just recorded a historic trading session, with more than $10 billion in shares changing hands as its price fell roughly 13%. It was one of the steepest daily declines since the fund launched.
The surge in volume alongside falling prices suggests aggressive institutional repositioning rather than retail panic, underscoring how fragile sentiment has become among large investors.
Strategy Takes Heavy Loss but Stays Committed
Corporate Bitcoin exposure is also being tested. Strategy reported a $12.4 billion loss in its latest quarterly results as its stock tumbled. Despite the setback, the company’s CEO said Strategy will continue buying Bitcoin every single quarter, reaffirming its long-term accumulation strategy even as short-term risks mount.
Bitcoin Price Under Pressure
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $62,000. With technical indicators weakening, ETF flows turning volatile, and macro uncertainty still unresolved, McGlone’s warning is gaining traction among investors increasingly wary that the worst of the downturn may not yet be over.
#bearmarket