benjamincowen
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⚠️ 2021年的时代不会重演？为什么这个周期「与众不同」
许多人期待着2020-2021年疯狂的山寨季重演，但分析师本杰明·科恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 警告说：现实要残酷得多。📉
市场正在发生什么？
前100种加密货币的上涨/下跌指数 (ADI) 自2021年以来一直处于下降趋势。简单来说：比特币在上涨，但大多数山寨币「空洞无力」。
科恩的主要论点：
虚假掩盖： BTC 的上涨多年来掩盖了山寨币的基本疲软。现在，随着比特币主导地位的提升，这种疲软变得无法忽视。流动性分散： 大量新代币的出现分散了交易量。资金不足以支撑所有项目。避险资产： 当前比特币的反弹不是「全民狂欢」，而是投资者从下跌的山寨币转向避险资产的结果，以及机构需求的推动。
结论
2020年，市场是齐头并进上涨的。而今天，我们看到的是**「孤立的」BTC 上涨**。试图人为地重现过去的场景，对你的投资组合来说是一种危险的策略。
你有什么看法？你认为资金会流入山寨币，还是比特币会最终独占鳌头？ 👇
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BenjaminCowen #Altcoins #TradingTips
许多人期待着2020-2021年疯狂的山寨季重演，但分析师本杰明·科恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 警告说：现实要残酷得多。📉
市场正在发生什么？
前100种加密货币的上涨/下跌指数 (ADI) 自2021年以来一直处于下降趋势。简单来说：比特币在上涨，但大多数山寨币「空洞无力」。
科恩的主要论点：
虚假掩盖： BTC 的上涨多年来掩盖了山寨币的基本疲软。现在，随着比特币主导地位的提升，这种疲软变得无法忽视。流动性分散： 大量新代币的出现分散了交易量。资金不足以支撑所有项目。避险资产： 当前比特币的反弹不是「全民狂欢」，而是投资者从下跌的山寨币转向避险资产的结果，以及机构需求的推动。
结论
2020年，市场是齐头并进上涨的。而今天，我们看到的是**「孤立的」BTC 上涨**。试图人为地重现过去的场景，对你的投资组合来说是一种危险的策略。
你有什么看法？你认为资金会流入山寨币，还是比特币会最终独占鳌头？ 👇
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BenjaminCowen #Altcoins #TradingTips
ترجمة
Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen says Bitcoin could surge as high as $200,000 in an ideal bull market scenario — but only if it follows a "right-translated" cycle.
🔍 In a recent interview, Cowen explained:
“A 10x move from the bottom is realistic in a right-translated cycle. That puts BTC at $150K. In a perfect world, we could even hit $200K. But I don’t see $300K happening this cycle.”
📉 Still, he warns that Bitcoin must hold $72K as key weekly support to maintain bullish momentum:
“If we defend $72K, I’ll stay optimistic. But I’m concerned we might not hold it during a pullback.”
📈 At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $85,230.
What’s your call — are we heading toward six-figure BTC, or is this just another hopium-fueled dream?
Drop your prediction below 👇
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoAnalysis #BenjaminCowen #CryptoNews
🔍 In a recent interview, Cowen explained:
“A 10x move from the bottom is realistic in a right-translated cycle. That puts BTC at $150K. In a perfect world, we could even hit $200K. But I don’t see $300K happening this cycle.”
📉 Still, he warns that Bitcoin must hold $72K as key weekly support to maintain bullish momentum:
“If we defend $72K, I’ll stay optimistic. But I’m concerned we might not hold it during a pullback.”
📈 At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $85,230.
What’s your call — are we heading toward six-figure BTC, or is this just another hopium-fueled dream?
Drop your prediction below 👇
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoAnalysis #BenjaminCowen #CryptoNews
ترجمة
📉 BITCOIN'S DESTINY? A Date with the 200-Week MA.
Benjamin Cowen, with over a million followers, shares his forecast: $BTC is destined to meet its 200-week Moving Average in 2026, likely around the $60K-$70K zone.
A classic retest that could set the stage for the next parabolic leg. History doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes.
$BTC
#Bitcoin #BTC #Trading #Crypto #BenjaminCowen
Benjamin Cowen, with over a million followers, shares his forecast: $BTC is destined to meet its 200-week Moving Average in 2026, likely around the $60K-$70K zone.
A classic retest that could set the stage for the next parabolic leg. History doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes.
$BTC
#Bitcoin #BTC #Trading #Crypto #BenjaminCowen
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