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ترجمة
🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
AlphaDropster:
Before every Fed decision comes fear and volatility.
The market watches the noise,
while the real moves quietly take shape.
Those who panic react.
Those who understand… wait.
ترجمة
U.S. 🇺🇸 Banks Get Green Light for Crypto Transactions
The OCC confirms national banks can engage in “riskless principal” crypto transactions — meaning banks can buy & sell crypto for clients.
Why this matters: 👇
• This removes a major regulatory barrier
• Banks can now act as intermediaries for crypto trades
• Opens the door for institutional liquidity
• Bullish long-term for $BTC , $ETH
#btc #ETH
The OCC confirms national banks can engage in “riskless principal” crypto transactions — meaning banks can buy & sell crypto for clients.
Why this matters: 👇
• This removes a major regulatory barrier
• Banks can now act as intermediaries for crypto trades
• Opens the door for institutional liquidity
• Bullish long-term for $BTC , $ETH
#btc #ETH
طوير البيتكوين في 2025: أرقام قياسية ونشاط غير مسبوق
🚀
شهد عام 2025 طفرة حقيقية في نشاط مطوري البيتكوين حيث ارتفع عدد المساهمين في الكود البرمجي ليصل إلى 135 مطوراً
مع زيادة بنسبة 60% في نقاشات التطوير التقنية
هذا الحراك يعكس قوة البنية التحتية للشبكة بالتزامن مع الأداء القوي للسعر في الأسواق
ما رأيكم بهذا التطور؟
هل ترون أن زيادة نشاط المطورين ستدفع السعر لمستويات أعلى؟
$BTC
#WriteToEarnUpgrade #btc #elaouzi
🚀
شهد عام 2025 طفرة حقيقية في نشاط مطوري البيتكوين حيث ارتفع عدد المساهمين في الكود البرمجي ليصل إلى 135 مطوراً
مع زيادة بنسبة 60% في نقاشات التطوير التقنية
هذا الحراك يعكس قوة البنية التحتية للشبكة بالتزامن مع الأداء القوي للسعر في الأسواق
ما رأيكم بهذا التطور؟
هل ترون أن زيادة نشاط المطورين ستدفع السعر لمستويات أعلى؟
$BTC
#WriteToEarnUpgrade #btc #elaouzi
مشروع قانون أمريكي جديد يسمح لك بدفع الضرائب في ويلغي ضريبة أرباح رأس المال على البيتكوين 🔥
$BTC
#btc
$BTC
#btc
توقعات الأسبوع: تشير التوقعات التقنية إلى احتمال ارتفاع طفيف ليصل إلى 94,800$ #btc
عدم الاعتماد على تحليل اي شخص
متابعة الاخبار السياسية والاقتصادية هو الاساس البيتكوين يتأثر كثيرا بما يحصل حاليا من توترات سياسية واقتصادية
اقالة باول رئيس الفدرالي على المحك؟ اعلان البديل قريباً #USACryptoTrends
عدم الاعتماد على تحليل اي شخص
متابعة الاخبار السياسية والاقتصادية هو الاساس البيتكوين يتأثر كثيرا بما يحصل حاليا من توترات سياسية واقتصادية
اقالة باول رئيس الفدرالي على المحك؟ اعلان البديل قريباً #USACryptoTrends
ترجمة
cuidado con #btc , esta subida manipulada por parte de las noticias de Venezuela ya han dejado 2 gaps en la parte de abajo por 88k y 90500, por otro lado, entre los 94k y 96k hay mucha gente esperando ser liquidada así que no se vuelvan locos y se tiren to the moon. $BTC $ETH
JMP21:
¿Y? Acá no vende nadie. Y a los que operan futuros sobreapalancados, que le den...
ترجمة
2026 BTC终极预判：6万还是18万？老吴直言：震荡才是主旋律！😱
兄弟们，2026年刚开局，BTC就玩起“过山车”——1月1日闪崩爆仓16万人，3号立马反弹站回9万，从2025年12.6万高点回撤超30%后，卡在8.5万-9.5万磨人！好多人慌了：今年能稳吗？减半逻辑还管用吗？
老吴直接给结论：6.9万老高点早成过去式，2026年BTC必在这之上玩，但暴涨难复刻，8万-13万高位震荡是主线！定价逻辑早变了，以前看减半，现在得盯“机构+合规”！
现在的BTC，机构才是话事人👨💼
全球BTC ETF规模破1200亿美元，贝莱德IBIT囤了80万枚，比MicroStrategy还疯！2025年10月大跌时，散户割肉巨鲸偷偷吸筹，交易所BTC余额创2018年新低，筹码全锁冷钱包——市面上货越来越少，再也不会动辄跌80%！8.5万是机构认可的安全建仓价，硬支撑稳得很～
2026三大剧本：震荡为主，惊喜惊吓都有
1. 中性剧本（60%概率）：8万-13万震荡🤔
美联储降息2次但不大水漫灌，监管扯皮不一刀切，机构跌到8-9万买、12-13万卖，咱们跟着做波段就行。
2. 乐观剧本（20%概率）：冲刺15万-18万💰
触发条件：美国《Clarity法案》落地，或美联储超预期降息4次！现在机构从黄金转加密，全球M2破130万亿，资金溢出来就疯涨，摩根大通都看17万～
3. 悲观剧本（20%概率）：下探6万-7万⚠️
风险点：美联储重启加息、股市崩盘、囤币大户减持。但7万是多数人成本价，机构持仓超20%会护盘，跌破6万难！
定价逻辑彻底变了！以前靠猜，现在靠规矩🚫
- 以前看情绪供需，现在盯ETF资金流向，流入涨流出跌，比K线还准；
- 以前是野生资产，现在全球75国报税、美国FASB规范入账，波动率向黄金靠拢；
- 以前估值靠蒙，现在摩根大通、花旗用模型算，目标价明明白白。
老吴实操建议：别追涨，捡漏才香😭
1. 仓位控制在1%-5%，别all in；
2. 8-8.5万分批买，12-13万慢慢卖，跌破7万补仓、6.5万止损；
3. 少看短线，每月盯一次ETF资金和监管动态，跟着大趋势走。
2026年的BTC，靠运气赚钱的时代过了，进入“机构+合规”新时代！震荡磨人但有低吸高抛机会，比以前更稳适合长期布局～
兄弟们，你觉得今年BTC能冲15万还是跌破8万？评论区聊聊，看看谁是懂哥！👇#比特币2026年价格预测 #btc $BTC
老吴直接给结论：6.9万老高点早成过去式，2026年BTC必在这之上玩，但暴涨难复刻，8万-13万高位震荡是主线！定价逻辑早变了，以前看减半，现在得盯“机构+合规”！
现在的BTC，机构才是话事人👨💼
全球BTC ETF规模破1200亿美元，贝莱德IBIT囤了80万枚，比MicroStrategy还疯！2025年10月大跌时，散户割肉巨鲸偷偷吸筹，交易所BTC余额创2018年新低，筹码全锁冷钱包——市面上货越来越少，再也不会动辄跌80%！8.5万是机构认可的安全建仓价，硬支撑稳得很～
2026三大剧本：震荡为主，惊喜惊吓都有
1. 中性剧本（60%概率）：8万-13万震荡🤔
美联储降息2次但不大水漫灌，监管扯皮不一刀切，机构跌到8-9万买、12-13万卖，咱们跟着做波段就行。
2. 乐观剧本（20%概率）：冲刺15万-18万💰
触发条件：美国《Clarity法案》落地，或美联储超预期降息4次！现在机构从黄金转加密，全球M2破130万亿，资金溢出来就疯涨，摩根大通都看17万～
3. 悲观剧本（20%概率）：下探6万-7万⚠️
风险点：美联储重启加息、股市崩盘、囤币大户减持。但7万是多数人成本价，机构持仓超20%会护盘，跌破6万难！
定价逻辑彻底变了！以前靠猜，现在靠规矩🚫
- 以前看情绪供需，现在盯ETF资金流向，流入涨流出跌，比K线还准；
- 以前是野生资产，现在全球75国报税、美国FASB规范入账，波动率向黄金靠拢；
- 以前估值靠蒙，现在摩根大通、花旗用模型算，目标价明明白白。
老吴实操建议：别追涨，捡漏才香😭
1. 仓位控制在1%-5%，别all in；
2. 8-8.5万分批买，12-13万慢慢卖，跌破7万补仓、6.5万止损；
3. 少看短线，每月盯一次ETF资金和监管动态，跟着大趋势走。
2026年的BTC，靠运气赚钱的时代过了，进入“机构+合规”新时代！震荡磨人但有低吸高抛机会，比以前更稳适合长期布局～
兄弟们，你觉得今年BTC能冲15万还是跌破8万？评论区聊聊，看看谁是懂哥！👇#比特币2026年价格预测 #btc $BTC
ترجمة
DOUBLE $BTC CME GAP ALERT DON’T IGNORE THIS ZONE
Depending on where the weekly open prints, Bitcoin could be setting up a double CME gap below.
Yes, $BTC above $90K is exciting but CME gaps still matter, especially in trending markets. Historically, these gaps act like magnets during pullbacks or consolidations.
This doesn’t invalidate the bullish structure, but it adds risk awareness:
If momentum stalls → gap fill becomes likelyIf price keeps grinding higher → gaps may remain open longer, but not forgotte
Smart traders stay bullish without being blind.
Watch the weekly open closely.
Structure first. Hype second.
#btc #bitcoin #CMEBitcoinSpotTrading $XAU
Yes, $BTC above $90K is exciting but CME gaps still matter, especially in trending markets. Historically, these gaps act like magnets during pullbacks or consolidations.
This doesn’t invalidate the bullish structure, but it adds risk awareness:
If momentum stalls → gap fill becomes likelyIf price keeps grinding higher → gaps may remain open longer, but not forgotte
Smart traders stay bullish without being blind.
Watch the weekly open closely.
Structure first. Hype second.
#btc #bitcoin #CMEBitcoinSpotTrading $XAU
Homem dos warrants:
A designação técnica é gap up
ترجمة
$BTC
Configuración de la operación
Rango de entrada: 91,350 – 91,550
Objetivo 1: 91,000
Objetivo 2: 90,700
Objetivo 3: 90,400
Stop Loss: 91,850
#btc
Configuración de la operación
Rango de entrada: 91,350 – 91,550
Objetivo 1: 91,000
Objetivo 2: 90,700
Objetivo 3: 90,400
Stop Loss: 91,850
#btc
يُعدّ عيد ميلاد البيتكوين بمثابة تذكير:
لم تبدأ العملات المشفرة بشكل عشوائي، بل بدأت بشكل قابل للتحقق.
خطوة بخطوة. لا تزال سفر التكوين قائماً.$BTC
#btc
لم تبدأ العملات المشفرة بشكل عشوائي، بل بدأت بشكل قابل للتحقق.
خطوة بخطوة. لا تزال سفر التكوين قائماً.$BTC
#btc
ترجمة
I’m Suspecting a Big Move on $BTC based on Weekly Closing and 1D Candles. 🟢
$BTC can touch $98K - $100K levels or even higher from here.
#btc
$BTC can touch $98K - $100K levels or even higher from here.
#btc
ترجمة
#btc $BTC LONG.
Chart ngày tăng đều, nến 4h đi ngang.
70% giá sẽ đi lên.
Giờ không Long thì khi nào nữa 🚀
Chart ngày tăng đều, nến 4h đi ngang.
70% giá sẽ đi lên.
Giờ không Long thì khi nào nữa 🚀
ش
BTCUSDC
دائم
مغلق
الأرباح والخسائر
+173.96USDT
ترجمة
2018: Harvard says Bitcoin is more likely to hit $100 than $100K.
2025: Harvard buys $116M Bitcoin at $116K.
Everyone gets Bitcoin at the price they deserve.
$BTC
#btc
2025: Harvard buys $116M Bitcoin at $116K.
Everyone gets Bitcoin at the price they deserve.
$BTC
#btc
ترجمة
BTC All time high 🔥 🔥 🔥
$BTC dipped near 90.7K but recovered fast. Buyers defended the support and price is now stable above 91K. Short-term volatility remains, but structure looks healthy. 👀🔥 $BTC
#btc
$BTC dipped near 90.7K but recovered fast. Buyers defended the support and price is now stable above 91K. Short-term volatility remains, but structure looks healthy. 👀🔥 $BTC
#btc
ترجمة
#btc #eth
简单说一下对目前盘面的后续分析：
首先大饼周线级别来看，还不满足一笔周线下跌，二饼的话勉强算一笔，所以后续大周期大饼11月8W的低点还是会去跌破（除非先出历史新高），所以大饼还有低点的情况下，二饼再强都好也会被拖下来。前面两周我提过了二饼短期一段下跌已经结束，会走同级别反弹也到了前面说的先突破3200，那么这个同级别目前来判断，先以2-3日线左右的级别来看反弹一笔，2-3日线一笔的时间周期大概就是从底部2770开始算2周到2.5周左右的时间段走完，对应4小时级别来说就差不多是一段反弹线段。那么目前切换到4小时级别来看的话，次级别还有一笔回踩需求，这周的观点就简单了，回踩都是吃最后反弹一波的机会，然后再破11月低点，中长线现货布局机会还没有出现（等待11月低点破位后才有机会布局），图晚上有空再补充，先看文字观点。$BTC
$ETH
简单说一下对目前盘面的后续分析：
首先大饼周线级别来看，还不满足一笔周线下跌，二饼的话勉强算一笔，所以后续大周期大饼11月8W的低点还是会去跌破（除非先出历史新高），所以大饼还有低点的情况下，二饼再强都好也会被拖下来。前面两周我提过了二饼短期一段下跌已经结束，会走同级别反弹也到了前面说的先突破3200，那么这个同级别目前来判断，先以2-3日线左右的级别来看反弹一笔，2-3日线一笔的时间周期大概就是从底部2770开始算2周到2.5周左右的时间段走完，对应4小时级别来说就差不多是一段反弹线段。那么目前切换到4小时级别来看的话，次级别还有一笔回踩需求，这周的观点就简单了，回踩都是吃最后反弹一波的机会，然后再破11月低点，中长线现货布局机会还没有出现（等待11月低点破位后才有机会布局），图晚上有空再补充，先看文字观点。$BTC
$ETH
#EtH
二饼晚间行情分享，上周3450-2770这段下跌已经结束，目前大概率走同级别反弹，在破2770之前比较倾向往上破3200，所以这两天布局的空单已经走大半，后续保持前面的观点，2720不破都是盘整走势，破位等待跌破11月新低后进场$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
二饼晚间行情分享，上周3450-2770这段下跌已经结束，目前大概率走同级别反弹，在破2770之前比较倾向往上破3200，所以这两天布局的空单已经走大半，后续保持前面的观点，2720不破都是盘整走势，破位等待跌破11月新低后进场$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
ترجمة
$BTC BTC is in one of those moments where the chart stops shouting and starts whispering. Price pushed hard, made its move, and now it’s just… sitting there, breathing. No panic, no chaos, just the market figuring out what it wants to do next.
You can see it clearly on the lower timeframes, a lot of back and forth, some impatience getting punished, but nothing that breaks the bigger picture. Sellers try, buyers answer. Nobody is in full control yet, and that’s usually not a bad thing.
What stands out to me is how calm this consolidation feels. No aggressive sell pressure, no heavy volume spikes on red candles. It’s more like BTC is letting things cool off naturally after the push, instead of forcing a direction.
This kind of price action tends to frustrate traders who want instant moves, but it often builds a cleaner base underneath. If the market wanted lower, it probably wouldn’t be this slow and controlled about it.
I’m not rushing anything here. Letting price come to the levels, letting the market show its hand. Sometimes the best move is just watching and waiting.
Key zones I’m watching:
Support: around 90.8k – 91.0k, then deeper support near 89.6k – 89.3k
Resistance: first 91.8k – 92.0k, and above that 93.5k – 94.5k as a larger supply area
No hype, no fear. Just structure doing its thing.
🔥
Paz, sexo y rock and roll 🤘
❗My posts ®️ are not financial advice.
Everything I share is strictly informational.
I am not telling anyone to buy or sell.
Everyone is responsible for their own decisions and for how they manage their money.
DYOR❗
#btc $BTC
You can see it clearly on the lower timeframes, a lot of back and forth, some impatience getting punished, but nothing that breaks the bigger picture. Sellers try, buyers answer. Nobody is in full control yet, and that’s usually not a bad thing.
What stands out to me is how calm this consolidation feels. No aggressive sell pressure, no heavy volume spikes on red candles. It’s more like BTC is letting things cool off naturally after the push, instead of forcing a direction.
This kind of price action tends to frustrate traders who want instant moves, but it often builds a cleaner base underneath. If the market wanted lower, it probably wouldn’t be this slow and controlled about it.
I’m not rushing anything here. Letting price come to the levels, letting the market show its hand. Sometimes the best move is just watching and waiting.
Key zones I’m watching:
Support: around 90.8k – 91.0k, then deeper support near 89.6k – 89.3k
Resistance: first 91.8k – 92.0k, and above that 93.5k – 94.5k as a larger supply area
No hype, no fear. Just structure doing its thing.
🔥
Paz, sexo y rock and roll 🤘
❗My posts ®️ are not financial advice.
Everything I share is strictly informational.
I am not telling anyone to buy or sell.
Everyone is responsible for their own decisions and for how they manage their money.
DYOR❗
#btc $BTC
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