economicimpact

الرئيس دونالد $TRUMP أعلن الرئيس الأميركي دونالد ترمب عن خطط لفرض تعريفات جمركية جديدة الأسبوع المقبل، محذرا من أن تأثيرها سيكون واسع النطاق. وفي حديثه في البيت الأبيض إلى جانب رئيس الوزراء الياباني شيجيرو إيشيبا، أكد ترمب أن الإجراءات المقبلة ستؤثر على "الجميع"، معززا موقفه بشأن سياسات التجارة العادلة.ومن المتوقع الكشف عن التفاصيل الكاملة لخطة التعريفات الجمركية في مؤتمر صحفي في وقت مبكر من الأسبوع المقبل، ربما يوم الاثنين أو الثلاثاء. وفي حين لم يحدد ترامب البلدان التي ستستهدفها أو طبيعة التعريفات الجمركية بالضبط، فإن بيانه وضع بالفعل شركاء التجارة العالميين في حالة تأهب قصوى.

It’s official — the U.S. Senate has once again failed to pass the temporary funding bill on November 4, meaning the shutdown that began on October 1 has now broken the 2018 record of 35 days, making it the longest government shutdown ever. ⏳
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💼 Who’s Getting Hit First:
The real pain isn’t in Washington — it’s on the ground.
Over 13,000 air traffic controllers and 50,000 airport security staff are working without pay.
Absentee rates are now between 24%–44% as frustration rises.
On October 30, more than 6,000 flights were delayed and 1,000 canceled — with JFK Airport temporarily grounding flights. ✈️
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📉 What’s Behind the Shutdown:
The deadlock comes from deep disagreements between Democrats and Republicans over budget priorities and spending limits.
This isn’t the first time — but it’s turning into one of the most damaging ones yet.
The aviation industry alone could be losing over $10 million per day.
Stock market volatility may rise as high as 3%, shaking investor confidence.
Travelers and families face growing delays and longer queues nationwide.
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⚖️ Politics at Play:
Both parties are standing firm on their “core principles.”
🟥 Republicans want deeper spending cuts.
🟦 Democrats demand protection for social programs.
Each side is playing a high-stakes political game — with public patience and economic stability caught in the middle.
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🧩 What Needs to Happen Next:
To reopen the government, three things must align:
1️⃣ A bipartisan compromise between both parties.
2️⃣ New funding approval to restart essential services.
3️⃣ Adjustments in fiscal rules to prevent another standoff.
But obstacles remain — political infighting, lobbying pressure, and a ticking clock.
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⏱️ The Big Questions:
When will both sides finally compromise?
How much longer can the shutdown drag on?
And how far will the ripple effect reach across the economy?
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💬 What’s your take?
Can Washington find common ground — or is this just the start of a much deeper political and financial storm?
Drop your thoughts below 👇

كانت سياسات التعريفات في إدارة ترامب موضوعًا للجدل والنقاش. في هذه
في هذه المقالة، سنقوم بتفصيل الجوانب الرئيسية لتعريفات ترامب، وتأثيرها الاقتصادي، و
تداعيات على الاقتصاد الأمريكي.
*ما هي تعريفات ترامب؟*
تتعلق تعريفات ترامب بالضرائب المفروضة من قبل الحكومة الأمريكية على السلع المستوردة من دول مختلفة
دول، بما في ذلك الصين وكندا والمكسيك. تم تقديم هذه التعريفات كجزء من
سياسة التجارة لإدارة ترامب، تهدف إلى حماية الصناعات والعمال الأمريكيين.

China’s U.S. exports fell 12.7% in May due to tariffs.
Manufacturing activity contracted, with job losses looming.Global trade faces uncertainty, impacting supply chains.Thailand braces for U.S. tariffs but eyes market opportunities.China redirects exports to Asia, risking regional oversupply.
Trade War Escalates Economic Tensions
China’s exports grew slower than anticipated in May, with a significant 12.7% drop in shipments to the United States, driven by intensified trade war tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump. Official data highlights the strain on global supply chains as U.S.-China trade tensions deepen. Imports also saw an unexpected decline, reflecting weak domestic consumption and broader economic challenges.
The trade war has disrupted China’s export-driven economy, with shipments to the U.S. falling sharply compared to a modest overall export growth of 4.8%. This slowdown marks a critical moment for China, as tariffs continue to reshape global trade dynamics.
Manufacturing and Employment Under Pressure
China’s manufacturing sector faced significant setbacks in April, with the purchasing managers’ index dropping to 49.0, indicating a contraction in activity. This decline, the sharpest in over a year, was driven by reduced export orders and a contracting manufacturing workforce, hitting its lowest level since February 2024.
The trade war has led to fears of widespread job losses, with estimates suggesting up to 5.7 million immediate job cuts if U.S. exports drop by 50%. Long-term ripple effects could impact 15.8 million workers, underscoring the severe economic toll of escalating tariffs.
China has responded with retaliatory tariffs of 125% on U.S. goods, further intensifying the economic standoff. Beijing is now focusing on stimulating domestic spending through subsidies and pension improvements to offset weak consumption amid a persistent property crisis.
Global Trade Faces Uncertainty
The trade war extends beyond U.S.-China relations, affecting global markets. Thailand, a key U.S. trading partner, faces potential tariffs of up to 36%, threatening its export sector. Thai businesses are bracing for disruptions, with some products like pet food and rice positioned to gain U.S. market share as Chinese goods face higher levies.
Global GDP growth is projected to slow to 2.3% in 2025, the lowest since the COVID-19 pandemic, driven by trade uncertainties and declining consumption in major economies. The Asia-Pacific region, however, is expected to grow at 3.9%, with emerging markets showing resilience.
China’s exports to other regions, particularly Asia, surged in April as businesses redirected goods to avoid U.S. tariffs. This shift has sparked concerns about oversupply in markets like Thailand, where Chinese products could disrupt local production and increase trade deficits.
Efforts to mitigate the trade war’s impact include Thailand’s push for trade negotiations with the U.S. to reduce tariffs and diversify export markets. Such strategies aim to cushion the blow of global trade disruptions and maintain economic competitiveness.

#TradeWar #ChinaExports #USTariffs #GlobalTrade #EconomicImpact

تتزايد المخاوف بشأن العواقب الاقتصادية المحتملة لقانون GENIUS، وهو تشريع فيدرالي للعملات المستقرة تم توقيعه ليصبح قانونًا منذ شهرين من قبل الرئيس الأمريكي دونالد ترامب. أعرب عضو مجلس الشيوخ في ولاية ألاباما كيث كيلي، الذي يمثل المنطقة 12، عن مخاوف كبيرة بشأن ثغرة في القانون قد تعرض الاقتصاديات الريفية للخطر، لا سيما في ولايته. تنتقده، التي تم توضيحها في مقال رأي حديث، المخاطر التي تهدد البنوك الصغيرة في المجتمعات والمجتمعات التي تخدمها.