fedwatc

#FedWatc : January 2026 Policy Update
Current Snapshot: The January Meeting
Market expectations are nearly unanimous for this week’s decision. Data from the CME FedWatch Tool and major financial institutions suggest the following:
* Decision Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026 (2:00 PM ET).
* Probability of a Pause: Between 95.4% and 97% of market participants expect rates to remain unchanged.
* Current Target Range: 3.50% – 3.75%.
The "Wait and See" Strategy
Following a 75-basis-point reduction in late 2025, Chair Jerome Powell and the Committee are navigating a "tug-of-war" between two economic signals:
* Sticky Inflation: Annual inflation remains around 2.7%–2.8%, still above the Fed’s 2% target.
* Labor Market Cooling: While the job market isn't "broken," it has shown signs of fragility, with unemployment ticking up slightly.
> Key Sentiment: Officials believe current rates are "appropriately positioned" (near the estimated neutral level) to support employment without reigniting inflation.
>
What’s on the Horizon for 2026?
While this meeting is expected to be a "quiet" hold, the rest of 2026 is shaping up to be volatile:
* Leadership Transition: Chair Powell’s term ends in May 2026. Markets are already speculating on a new, potentially more dovish chair.
* Rate Forecasts: The Fed's "dot plot" suggests only one more cut later this year, though some analysts (like those at Goldman Sachs) predict a more aggressive path toward a terminal rate of 3.0% – 3.25% by year-end.
* Political Pressure: The Fed remains under intense scrutiny, with the administration advocating for deeper cuts to stimulate growth.
Fed Forecast Table
| Meeting Date | Market Expectation | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Hold (3.50% - 3.75%) | Assessing the impact of 2025 cuts. |
| March 2026 | Possible 25bps Cut | Dependent on Q1 inflation data. |
| June 2026 | High Uncertainty | First meeting under potential new leadership. |
Would you like me to create a summary of how these interest rate projections might affect mortgage rates or the stock market for the rest of the quarter?

يفقد معظم المتداولين المال على Binance لسبب بسيط:
ليس لأن تحليلاتهم سيئة... ولكن لأنهم يدفعون كثيرًا للدخول والخروج.
الرسوم والانزلاق مثل جروح صغيرة في كل صفقة، تأكل ببطء أرباحك، حتى عندما يكون اتجاهك صحيحًا.
إليك الميزة المخفية التي تجعلك تكسب المزيد من المال بشكل هادئ:
👉 استخدم أوامر الصانع (Post-Only) بدلاً من أوامر السوق.
ما يفعله معظم الناس هو الشراء في حالة من الذعر بأمر سوق. أو يبيعون في حالة من الذعر بأمر سوق. Binance تملأهم على الفور... ولكن بسعر أسوأ + رسوم أعلى.
هذا يعني ضربة مزدوجة في نفس الوقت:
⭕رسوم المشتري
⭕الانزلاق (تحصل على ملء أسوأ قليلاً مما كنت تتوقع)
ما يفعله المتداولون الأذكياء هو أنهم يضعون أمر LIMIT مع تفعيل Post-Only.
Post-Only تعني: "إما أن أحصل على ملء كصانع... أو ألغي الأمر." لذا لا تدفع رسوم المشتري عن غير قصد.
لماذا هذه خدعة حقيقية للمال لأنك تتوقف عن التبرع بالمال في كل صفقة.
على مدى 50-100 صفقة، يصبح هذا كبيرًا. قد لا تشعر به في صفقة واحدة. لكن رصيد حسابك سيشعر به على مدار شهر.
👉 كيف تستخدمه ⁉️
1️⃣ افتح Spot أو Futures
2️⃣ اختر أمر LIMIT
3️⃣ قم بتفعيل Post-Only
ضع دخولك عند مستواك (لا تطارد)
افعل نفس الشيء لتحقيق الأرباح (حد، وليس سوق)
👉 خطوة “مخفية” إضافية (قم بذلك الآن) اذهب إلى الإعدادات وقم بتفعيل خصم الرسوم: ادفع الرسوم باستخدام BNB (Spot) هذا يقلل الرسوم بهدوء في الخلفية.
الحقيقة النهائية السوق لا يحتاج إلى التحرك “أكثر” لتفوز.
كل ما تحتاجه هو التوقف عن تسرب المال في التنفيذ.
تابعني للحصول على إشارات يومية وتعلم العملات الرقمية 🥳
$CITY $TURTLE $PUMP

#USIranStandoff #FundingFeeScam #Mag7Earnings #strategyBTCpurchases #FedWatc

Fed Chair Jerome Powell dropped a reality check today in Providence, RI: While the economy's humming, asset prices (yes, stocks included) are at elevated levels and "fairly highly valued" by most metrics. No panic—financial stability risks aren't spiking—but it's a reminder that markets are pricing in aggressive rate cuts like they're candy. Post-Fed's 25bps trim last week, S&P's flirting with records, but Powell's hinting: "We watch financial conditions closely, but tolerance for higher vals? It's measured." Upside inflation risks + downside job worries = no free lunch. Smart money move: Diversify beyond mega-caps. What's your take—bubble or buy-the-dip? #FedWatc #StockMarket #PowellSpeech

Bullish Patterns (Indicate a Potential Uptrend)
1. Piercing Pattern
First red candle followed by a strong green candle.
The green candle closes above the midpoint of the red one.
Indicates bullish reversal at support levels.
2. Morning Star
Three candles: Red, small-bodied (indecision), and green.
Signifies a transition from a downtrend to an uptrend.
Stronger when the green candle has high volume.
3. Morning Doji Star
Similar to the Morning Star but with a doji (indecision) in the middle.
Confirms a bullish reversal after a downtrend.
4. Bullish Engulfing
A small red candle followed by a large green candle engulfing it.
Indicates strong buying pressure and reversal.
5. Bullish Harami
A large red candle followed by a small green candle inside its body.
Suggests a potential trend reversal.
6. Bullish Harami Cross
Similar to Bullish Harami but with a doji in the second candle.
Signals indecision, often leading to a bullish reversal.
7. Three Inside Up
Three candles: A red, a small green inside the red, and another strong green.
Confirms bullish reversal.
8. Three White Soldiers
Three consecutive strong green candles.
Each opens within the previous candle’s body and closes higher.
Indicates a strong bullish trend.
9. Bullish Doji Star
A red candle followed by a doji (indecision).
Confirms reversal if followed by a strong green candle.
10. Tweezer Bottoms
Two candles with similar lows at support.
Signals a potential reversal.
11. Bullish Stick Sandwich
A red-green-red pattern where the middle green candle has a higher close.
Indicates accumulation before a bullish move.
---
Bearish Patterns (Indicate a Potential Downtrend)
1. Dark Cloud Cover
A green candle followed by a red one that closes below its midpoint.
Suggests a bearish reversal at resistance.
2. Evening Star
Three candles: Green, small-bodied (indecision), and red.
Indicates bearish reversal at the top of an uptrend.
3. Evening Doji Star
Similar to Evening Star but with a doji in the middle.
Confirms bearish reversal when followed by a strong red candle.
4. Bearish Engulfing
A small green candle followed by a large red candle engulfing it.
Strong bearish signal indicating trend reversal.
5. Bearish Harami
A large green candle followed by a small red candle inside its body.
Suggests potential bearish reversal.
6. Bearish Harami Cross
Similar to Bearish Harami but with a doji in the second candle.
Indicates market indecision leading to a bearish reversal.
7. Three Inside Down
Three candles: A green, a small red inside the green, and another strong red.
Confirms bearish reversal.
8. Three Black Crows
Three consecutive strong red candles.
Each opens within the previous candle’s body and closes lower.
Indicates strong bearish momentum.
9. Bearish Doji Star
A green candle followed by a doji (indecision).
Confirms a bearish reversal if followed by a strong red candle.
10. Tweezer Tops
Two candles with similar highs at resistance.
Indicates a potential bearish reversal.
11. Bearish Stick Sandwich
A green-red-green pattern where the middle red candle has a lower close.
Indicates distribution before a bearish move.
---
These patterns help traders identify trend reversals and continuation points.
Here is the candles image 👇

you find the post helpful then please like share and comment on it thankyou ♥️
#VoteToListOnBinance #TrumpAtDAS #BinanceLaunchpoolNI L #FedWatc #RippleVictory