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The probability of a United States government shutdown by February 14 has surged to 97%, according to data from the prediction market platform Polymarket. Market activity around this event has intensified, with trading volumes nearing $3 million, reflecting growing investor concern and uncertainty.
According to Odaily, political tensions in Washington have escalated as the funding deadline approaches. In a last-minute attempt to avert a shutdown, the White House submitted legislative text to Democratic leaders aimed at securing funding for the Department of Homeland Security.
However, the proposal is widely expected to be rejected. Democratic lawmakers have signaled that previous offers were incomplete and insufficient, raising doubts about whether a bipartisan agreement can be reached in time.
If no deal is finalized by the deadline, a shutdown could disrupt key government services, heighten market volatility, and add further pressure to an already fragile political environment. With prediction markets now pricing in an almost certain shutdown, all eyes remain on Capitol Hill as the clock ticks down.
#USPolitics #GovernmentShutdown #BreakingNews #MARK $BTC

Former U.S. President Donald Trump has officially signed an order allowing the United States to impose an additional 25% tariff on any country that continues trade or business with Iran.
This move signals a harder stance on global trade and geopolitics, and markets are already paying attention.
🌍 What Does This Mean for the Global Economy?
This decision could:
Increase trade tensions
Raise costs for international businesses
Put pressure on oil, shipping, and emerging markets
Countries trading with Iran may now face higher costs when dealing with the U.S., which could disrupt global supply chains.
🪙 Impact on Bitcoin & Crypto
When global uncertainty rises, investors often look for alternative assets.
Historically:
Trade wars and sanctions → more market volatility
Volatility → higher interest in Bitcoin
Bitcoin is often seen as a hedge against political and economic uncertainty, and such news can increase demand for decentralized assets.
🔍 Coins to Watch
$BTC – Safe-haven narrative strengthens during geopolitical tension
$USDT / $USDC – Stablecoins often see higher usage in uncertain markets
Altcoins may react as liquidity shifts
📈 Final Thoughts
This tariff decision is more than politics — it’s a market-moving event.
Rising global tension often reshapes capital flows, and crypto markets could benefit if uncertainty continues.
Smart money watches geopolitics closely.
Crypto never sleeps. 🚀
#cryptouniverseofficial #TraderAlert #MARK

#umsStrategist ❤
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