Commodity Market Analysis - October 13, 2025
Today's Highlights
The commodity market experienced declines across several indices, while individual commodities showed mixed performances as of October 10, 2025.
Overall Market: The CRB Index fell by 0.9%, and the GSCI Index closed at 539.9621, down 2.16% for the day.
Top Gainers (Selected):
Nuclear Energy Index: Up 4.61%.
Cobalt: Up 3.58%.
Platinum: Up 3.17%.
Copper: Up 3.21%.
Key Declines (Selected):
Tea: Down 37.03%.
Propane: Down 3.90%.
Urals Oil: Down 3.16%.
Noteworthy Trends
Gold reached a record high in April, surpassing $3,200/toz, driven by geopolitical uncertainty and safe-haven demand.
Metals were the strongest performing commodity category in early 2025. The World Bank forecasts declines in its metals and minerals price index for 2025 and 2026 due to global growth and trade tensions, with a projected fall of 10% in 2025 and an additional 3% in 2026.
Energy Prices are forecast to continue their decline in 2025 and 2026, dropping by 17% in 2025 and an additional 6% in 2026. Brent crude oil is projected to average $62/bbl in the fourth quarter of 2025 and $52/bbl in 2026.
Agricultural Prices are anticipated to decline gradually in 2025 and 2026, influenced by improved supplies and rising trade tensions. The agriculture price index is forecast to decrease by 4% in 2025.
Natural Gas prices fell sharply in April 2025 but are expected to be higher in 2025 and remain relatively stable in 2026. The US benchmark is predicted to jump over 50% in 2025 due to low inventories and strong demand.
Factors Influencing the Market
Supply and Demand
Geopolitical Tensions
Economic Indicators
Environmental Factors
Trade Tensions & Policies
Energy Transition
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