quantumcomputing

أثار تصاعد الحديث عن مخاطر الحوسبة الكمية (Quantum Computing) قلقًا واسعًا في مجتمع الكريبتو، خاصة مع تقديرات مبالغ فيها تشير إلى أن ما يصل إلى 50٪ من إجمالي بيتكوين قد يكون معرضًا للخطر.
لكن تقريرًا حديثًا من CoinShares جاء ليضع الأمور في إطارها الواقعي — وبأرقام مختلفة تمامًا.
🔍 الخلاصة من CoinShares:
عدد عملات البيتكوين المعرضة لخطر حقيقي حاليًا يقتصر على حوالي 10,200 BTC فقط.
هذه العملات موجودة في عناوين قديمة (Legacy Addresses) تم فيها الكشف عن المفاتيح العامة سابقًا.
الغالبية العظمى من شبكة بيتكوين تستخدم تقنيات توقيع وتجزئة حديثة، تجعلها غير معرضة فعليًا للخطر الكمي في الوقت الراهن.
لماذا هذا مهم؟
الضجيج حول تهديد الحوسبة الكمية غالبًا ما يُستخدم لإثارة الخوف (FUD)، لكن الواقع التقني يقول إن:
الحواسيب الكمية القادرة على كسر تشفير بيتكوين غير موجودة بعد على المستوى العملي.
بروتوكول بيتكوين لديه قابلية للتطور والترقية مستقبلًا لمواجهة أي تهديدات محتملة.
📈 ما الرسالة للمستثمرين؟
بيتكوين ليست غافلة عن المستقبل، والمخاطر الحقيقية أقل بكثير مما يتم تداوله على وسائل التواصل. التركيز يجب أن يكون على الأساسيات، التطوير المستمر، والوعي التقني بدل الانجراف خلف العناوين المثيرة.
في عالم الكريبتو، المعلومة الدقيقة قوة… وCoinShares أعادت التوازن للنقاش.

In recent years, discussions around the potential for quantum computers to break Bitcoin ( $BTC ) cryptographic security have gained attention across tech and finance circles. Some observers paint quantum computing as an imminent danger that could dismantle Bitcoin security model, while others argue the threat is distant and manageable. Understanding what’s real and what’s exaggerated helps separate constructive debate from unfounded alarm.
Why People Are Talking About Quantum Danger
Bitcoin relies on cryptographic algorithms like the Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm (ECDSA) and SHA-256 hashing to secure wallets and validate transactions. These cryptographic functions depend on mathematical problems that classical computers cannot efficiently solve. A sufficiently advanced quantum computer one with enough fault-tolerant qubits running algorithms like Shor’s could theoretically derive a private key from a public key, granting control over a Bitcoin address. This is the core of the “quantum threat” concept.
Current Quantum Realities: Far from Practical Threats
Despite impressive progress in quantum research, practical devices capable of cracking Bitcoin cryptography remain out of reach. Modern quantum systems are noisy and limited in scale, lacking the error-corrected qubits necessary for powerful cryptographic attacks.
For perspective, recent analyses estimate that reversing a single Bitcoin public key in a short timeframe (such as one day) would require millions of physical qubits, orders of magnitude beyond today’s capabilities. The largest quantum computers today operate at around 100-150 qubits, and even with optimistic development roadmaps, systems of the required scale are likely many years, if not decades, away.
How Much Bitcoin Would Actually Be Vulnerable?
Another important nuance is that not all BTC addresses are equally at risk. Bitcoin has evolved its address formats over time:
Legacy addresses (Pay-to-Public-Key or P2PK) reveal the public key on-chain, theoretically exposing them to quantum attacks. These represent a minority of the total Bitcoin supply roughly 8 %, or about 1.7 million BTC.Even among these, only a relatively small amount around 10,200 BTC sits in large outputs that would matter meaningfully in market terms if compromised. Most legacy outputs are spread over many smaller transactions that would take extremely long to break, even with optimistic quantum performance assumptions.Modern formats like P2PKH and P2SH hide public keys until funds are spent, limiting quantum exposure further until users actually transact.

This layered vulnerability means that while theoretically susceptible coins exist, the portion that could be exploited quickly enough to disrupt markets or Bitcoin security today is very limited, according to data from Glassnode and CoinShares Research as of early February 2026.
Group Perspectives: Careful, Not Panic
Experts differ on how urgent the issue is:
Some technical voices in the Bitcoin community emphasize that quantum computing poses one of the “most serious long-term risks” to Bitcoin security model and encourage proactive planning and cryptographic hygiene.Others, like analysts at CoinShares, stress that fears of an imminent quantum “attack” on Bitcoin are overblown. They argue the threat remains a long-term engineering challenge rather than an immediate crisis.Institutional warnings, such as those from major asset managers, highlight the risk in regulatory filings as a material factor to consider in long-term investment strategies, albeit without concrete timelines.
Across the board, even concerned parties acknowledge that quantum threats are not around the corner in the sense of something that will instantly break Bitcoin in 2026 or 2027.
Can Bitcoin Adapt Before Quantum Becomes Dangerous?
Importantly, Bitcoin (BTC) open-source and upgradeable nature gives the community and developers tools to prepare well ahead of time. Several approaches can improve Bitcoin quantum resilience:
Migration to Quantum-Resistant Signatures: Cryptographers have developed post-quantum signature schemes including lattice-based or hash-based methods that would be much harder for quantum machines to break.Best Practices in Wallet Management: Avoiding address reuse and moving funds from older formats to modern types shortly after transactions reduces exposure.
These moves can be phased in gradually, given the long runway before quantum systems reach the necessary power to threaten Bitcoin security.
A Risk to Watch, Not Panic About
Is quantum computing a real threat to Bitcoin? The short answer: yes, in theory but not in practice today or in the immediate future. Current quantum technology is far from capable of breaching Bitcoin cryptographic defenses at scale. And even when more powerful quantum machines do arrive, Bitcoin has time likely decades to evolve its protocols, adopt post-quantum cryptography, and implement changes gradually without undermining its decentralized philosophy.
So while quantum computing deserves careful monitoring and thoughtful preparation, it doesn’t signal an impending collapse of Bitcoin security. Instead, it highlights the importance of forward-looking research and proactive upgrades in the world’s leading cryptocurrency.

#bitcoin #quantumcomputing #CryptoSecurity #BitcoinWarnings

It’s one of the biggest fears in crypto:
What happens if a powerful quantum computer can break Bitcoin’s cryptography?
Here’s the reality:
1) What quantum computers could actually break
Bitcoin relies on public–private key cryptography.
A sufficiently powerful quantum computer running Shor’s algorithm could, in theory, derive a private key from a public key and steal funds.
But there’s a catch.
2) Most Bitcoin wallets aren’t immediately exposed
Modern Bitcoin addresses hide the public key behind a hash.
The public key is only revealed when you spend from that address.
If you don’t reuse addresses, your funds remain far harder to attack—even in a quantum scenario.
3) The real requirement: speed
For a quantum attack to work in practice, the machine would need to:
• Derive the private key
• Broadcast a competing transaction
• Get it confirmed
—all within roughly 10 minutes (Bitcoin’s block time).
Current estimates suggest this would still take far longer than that.
4) Could miners use quantum computers to dominate?
Not likely in the near term.
Quantum speedups for Bitcoin mining are limited and wouldn’t instantly make one machine control the network.
5) Would Bitcoin adapt?
Yes.
If quantum threats become real, Bitcoin could upgrade to post-quantum cryptography through a consensus update—just like past protocol upgrades.

So is quantum computing the end of Bitcoin?
• Short term: No real threat.
• Medium term: Something to monitor.
• Long term: Bitcoin can upgrade and evolve.
In crypto, the strongest networks don’t stay static—they adapt.
And Bitcoin has already survived:
• Exchange collapses
• Government bans
• Mining crackdowns
• Multiple “death” predictions
Quantum computers would just be the next challenge.
#Bitcoin #QuantumComputing #Blockchain #BTC $BTC