seasonality

TradingView has rolled out a new table view for its Seasonality tool, making historical analysis even more intuitive.
🔹 Tabular Format – Each row represents a year, each cell a monthly price change, with color coding (green = gain, red = loss).

🔹 Summary Row – Counts how many times a month closed positive vs. negative across years.

🔹 Customization – Choose timeframes, toggle between % or absolute values, and even add an average row.
💡 Why it matters: Traders can now spot recurring seasonal patterns faster, compare monthly performance across years, and refine their strategies with clearer insights.
This upgrade transforms seasonality from just charts into a powerful comparison grid—ideal for spotting hidden opportunities.
#tradingview #CryptoMarkets #Seasonality #MarketInsights

As we enter a new month, historical data provides a compelling narrative for Bitcoin. While October ended with a 3.69% decline, breaking a 6-year green streak, November has historically been the strongest-performing month for Bitcoin, with an average return of 42.31%.
The chart below, based on Coinglass data from 2013 to the present, tells the story of a consistent seasonal pattern.
| Average November Return | +42.31% |
| Longest Green Streak | 5 consecutive years (2013-2017) |
| Average Q4 Performance | +78.4% |
📈 A Closer Look at the Seasonal Pattern
The data reveals two distinct phases for Bitcoin in November:
The Bullish Era (2013-2017): A perfect 5-year streak of positive returns in November, cementing its reputation as a strong month.The Mixed Phase (2018-Present): Increased volatility, with only 3 out of the last several years closing in the green (2020, 2023, 2024). This shows that while the trend is positive, it's not a guarantee.
Despite a rocky start to Q4 2025, where $BTC  is down ~5.85%, history suggests this quarter often sees the most powerful rallies of the year.
💡 Context for the Current Market
The recent market pressure has persisted into early November, even amid a supportive macro event—the U.S. Federal Reserve (FED) cut interest rates by 0.25%, aligning with market expectations.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a significant probability of another rate cut in December. This macro backdrop, combined with Bitcoin's strong historical performance in November, creates a fascinating setup for traders.
🎯 A Trader's Perspective
For traders watching the charts, this historical context is a key piece of the puzzle, not a crystal ball.
Watch for a Trend Reversal: After the October dip and break of its multi-year streak, see if $BTC  can find strong support and capitalize on its seasonal tailwinds.Q4 is the Star Performer: Remember that the entire fourth quarter has an average return of over 78%. A weak start does not necessarily predict a weak finish.Manage Risk, Not Hype: Use this data to inform your strategy, but always pair it with solid technical analysis and strict risk management.
Final Thought: While past performance never guarantees future results, recognizing strong seasonal trends can provide a significant edge. November is historically a time for Bitcoin to shine.
As always, this is not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.
#bitcoin #BTC☀ #crypt #trading #Seasonality