tesla

Everyone keeps calling this an AI bubble... but the actual data shows we are NOT even close to the stage where bubbles burst.
History says bubbles collapse only when everyone believes they will never collapse. Right now, we are in the opposite phase.
Major Bubbles Follow the Same Pattern
If you study every major bubble: Dot-com (1995–2000), Housing (2005–2008), China (2013–2015) there is one common pattern:
Warnings come YEARS before the real top.Economists warned about tech stocks in 1997.The bubble burst in 2000.They warned about US housing in 2005.The crash came in late 2007–08.Early warnings NEVER kill the bubble.
They simply mark the beginning of its acceleration phase.
Why People Think AI Is a Bubble
People have been screaming market bubble:
OpenAI hype NVDA rally US government investments Massive speculation
But just like the dot-com era, this phase is where liquidity, capital, and optimism ramp up, not collapse. Bubbles end when confidence is absolute, not when fear is trending.
Google Trends Prove We Are Not at Peak
If you check Google Trends:
AI bubble searches are still high. That means people are expecting the crash. And when everyone expects a crash, bubbles usually don’t burst. The real danger zone is when search interest disappears when everyone believes the bubble is unbreakable.
We are not there yet.
Nasdaq Data Shows We Are Early, Not Late
While people call today’s market rally a bubble, the actual data says we’re nowhere close to a final peak. Nasdaq has gained only ~88% in the last 5 years. During the real dot-com mania, Nasdaq went 12× in five years (from ~400 to ~4800).
And the historical chart shows something important:
Economists turned bearish years before the real topWarnings came early, but the bubble kept expandingEven after crises, tech resumed its long-term pathTrue bubble peaks form only when public confidence is absolute
Right now, we’re still nowhere near that stage.
Valuations Are High, But Not Dot-Com Extreme

Valuations also show we are not at dot-com levels:
Dot-com Nasdaq P/E ≈ 60×
Today’s Nasdaq P/E ≈ 26×
S&P 500 P/E is high (~40), but still below historic extremes
These are elevated valuations, but not at the levels where bubbles usually burst.
Margin Debt Shows Bubble Still Building
Margin debt which shows how much leverage investors are using, is at a record $1.1 trillion.
This is the highest in history. But historically, bubbles burst only after leverage starts falling sharply. Right now, leverage is still rising, which means the speculation cycle is still ongoing.
Volatility Signals Fear, Not Euphoria

Trading volume and volatility also don’t match a final bubble phase.
Every time tech falls, VIX jumps sharply (20 → 28). Put option buying spikes heavily on every dip. A real bubble top usually shows the opposite:
low volatility, low put buying, and high confidence.
Right now, confidence is low and fear is high.
S&P 500 Equal-Weight Index Confirms This Isn’t a Full Bubble
A very important detail:
The S&P 500 equal-weighted index has been up only 10% the past year. That means the rally is coming mainly from a handful of mega-caps like:
NvidiaTeslaAppleGoogleAmazon
A true bubble peak needs full-market participation. That is not happening yet.
Macro Cycle Supports a Longer AI Runway
If we look at long-term macro conditions, they also support a longer bubble cycle:
The Fed has started to ease with T-bill purchases, which historically boosts valuations.Trump policies aim to bring global capital back to the U.S., which means more liquidity.US federal debt is projected to hit $50–$55 trillion by 2029, and this money ultimately flows into the economy.Global liquidity injections from Japan, China, and the U.S. will support risk assets.
These conditions historically extend bubbles, not end them.
Sentiment Is Nowhere Near Peak Optimism

Sentiment also shows we are not close to peak optimism.
Wall Street is divided. Retail investors fear every correction. Put open interest spikes every time equities fall. This is a classic early-to-mid bubble phase sentiment.
All Data Confirm We’re Not at the Late Stage Yet
All charts also support the idea that we haven’t hit the late-stage bubble dynamics:
Corporate earnings (especially Nvidia, Microsoft) still support valuationsNasdaq is rising but not at dot-com “parabolic” levelsEqual-weight S&P is flat, meaning the market is not overextendedMarket funding remains strong and still increasing
All these indicate that the stock market bubble is building, not peaking.
What the Full Dataset Actually Shows
✔ Nasdaq nowhere near dot-com valuation extremes
✔ Nasdaq return multiples far below past bubble peaks
✔ Margin debt rising, not collapsing
✔ Liquidity expansion ahead
✔ Equal-weight S&P flat
✔ Heavy concentration in a few names
✔ High fear, low complacency
✔ AI investment cycle only accelerating
✔ Google searches reflect fear, not mania
All of this shows: The bubble is real, but it is not close to bursting.
Historical Timing Suggests the Peak Is Years Away
If we follow the historical timeline:
Dot-com
Warnings: 1997–1999Burst: 2000–2001
Housing
Warnings: 2005–2007Burst: 2008
AI
Warnings: 2023–2025Likely peak: 2027–2028
This is the most realistic timeline based on valuations, liquidity, sentiment, and historical bubble cycles.
This is why we remain optimistic about the crypto market. We are definitely going through a correction, but the upcoming liquidity catalysts are too strong.
Conclusion
We will still see corrections, volatility, and pullbacks. But nothing in the data suggests an immediate collapse. Everything indicates that the cycle is still building strength. If this follows past patterns, the true mania phase, the stage where everything starts going vertical, is still ahead.
#Nvidia's #Apple #Google #Tesla #RiskAssetsMarketShock

1. 🏠 Real Estate – $672.44 Trillion
2. 🛢 Oil – $113.84 Trillion
3. 🇨🇳 Chinese Yuan – $49.04 Trillion
4. 🪙 #GOLD – $33.49 Trillion
5. 🇺🇸 US Dollar – $22.41 Trillion
6. 🇪🇺 Euro – $18.99 Trillion
7. 🔩 Copper – $16.85 Trillion
8. 🔥 Natural Gas – $11.12 Trillion
9. 🇯🇵 Japanese Yen – $8.13 Trillion
10. 🇺🇸 NVIDIA – $4.51 Trillion
11. 🥈 Silver – $4.36 Trillion
12. 🇬🇧 British Pound – $4.34 Trillion
13. 🇺🇸 Apple – $4.08 Trillion
14. 🇺🇸 Alphabet – $3.90 Trillion
15. 🇰🇷 Korean Won – $3.07 Trillion
16. 🇺🇸 Microsoft – $2.98 Trillion
17. 🇭🇰 Hong Kong Dollar – $2.63 Trillion
18. 🇦🇺 Australian Dollar – $2.35 Trillion
19. 🇺🇸 Amazon – $2.25 Trillion
20. 🇹🇼 Taiwan Dollar – $2.12 Trillion
21. 🇨🇦 Canadian Dollar – $2.02 Trillion
22. 🇹🇼 TSMC – $1.80 Trillion
23. 🇷🇺 Russian Ruble – $1.68 Trillion
24. 🇺🇸 Meta – $1.67 Trillion
25. 🇸🇦 Saudi Aramco – $1.65 Trillion
26. 🇺🇸 Broadcom – $1.57 Trillion
27. 🇺🇸 #Tesla – $1.54 Trillion
28. 🇨🇭 Swiss Franc – $1.42 Trillion
29. 🇧🇷 Brazilian Real – $1.39 Trillion
30. ₿ Bitcoin – $1.38 Trillion
31. 🇺🇸 Berkshire Hathaway – $1.09 Trillion
32. 🇺🇸 Walmart – $1.04 Trillion
33. 🇲🇽 Mexican Peso – $963.65 Billion
34. 🇺🇸 Eli Lilly and Company – $948.61 Billion
35. 🇺🇸 JP Morgan Chase & Co. – $877.65 Billion
36. 🇮🇳 Indian Rupee – $803.07 Billion
37. 🇵🇱 Polish Zloty – $784.29 Billion
38. 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabian Riyal – $758.45 Billion
39. 🇰🇷 Samsung – $724.65 Billion
40. 🇸🇬 Singaporean Dollar – $692.37 Billion
41. 🪙 Platinum – $674.55 Billion
42. 🇺🇸 Visa – $639.29 Billion
43. 🇨🇳 Tencent – $632.14 Billion
44. 🇺🇸 Exxon Mobil – $628.56 Billion
45. 🇺🇸 Johnson & Johnson – $578.20 Billion
46. 🇹🇷 Turkish Lira – $563.23 Billion
47. 🇸🇪 Swedish Krona – $556.61 Billion
48. 🇳🇱 ASML Holding N.V. – $548.45 Billion
49. 🇺🇸 Mastercard – $490.26 Billion
50. 🇮🇱 Israeli New Shekel – $474.29 Billion
Note: Commodities and currencies are estimates.

$TSLA
The key product is the TSLAUSDT perpetual futures contract, which tracks the price of Tesla stock and allows for 24/7 trading.
1. Account Setup and Verification
- Ensure you have a Binance account and are logged in.
- Complete the required Identity Verification (KYC), as it is mandatory for futures trading.
2. Fund Your Account
- Deposit USDT (Tether) into your Binance Spot Wallet, as the TSLAUSDT contract is settled in USDT.
- Transfer the desired amount of USDT from your Spot Wallet to your USDⓈ-M Futures Wallet.
3. Navigate to the Futures Trading Interface
- On the Binance website or app, click on the [Futures] tab.
- Select [USD(S)-M Futures].
4. Locate the TSLA Contract
- In the trading pair search bar within the Futures interface, type "TSLAUSDT".
- This contract is listed under the "TradFi" (Traditional Finance) section.
5. Configure Your Trade
- Leverage: You can select leverage of up to 5x. Adjust this according to your risk tolerance.
- Margin Mode: Choose between Cross Margin or Isolated Margin.
- Position Side: Decide whether to open a Long (buy) position if you expect the price to rise, or a Short (sell) position if you expect the price to fall.
6. Place Your Order
- You can use different order types:
- Market Order: To execute immediately at the current market price.
- Limit Order: To specify a price at which you want your order to be filled.
- Stop-Limit Order: To trigger a limit order once a specific stop price is reached.
- Enter the amount (minimum trade size is 0.01 TSLA with a minimum notional value of 5 USDT) and confirm the trade.
7. Manage Your Open Position
- Once your position is open, you can monitor it in the "Positions" tab.
- It is crucial to set Take-Profit and Stop-Loss orders to manage risk.
- Be aware of Funding Fees, which are settled every four hours and can be a cost or a credit depending on the market.
Key Features of the TSLAUSDT Perpetual Contract
- 24/7 Trading: Unlike traditional stock markets, you can trade Tesla around the clock, including weekends.
- Leverage: Up to 5x leverage is available.
- Settlement: Profits and losses are calculated and settled in USDT.
Content is for investor reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.#Binanceproductguide #tradfi #Binancefutures #tesla #teslaperpetual