Recent Price & Market Behavior
$XPL has been under strong selling pressure after its initial hype, with the token losing over 80% from earlier highs and dipping sharply since late 2025.
Recent declines are driven by bearish structure, token unlocks, and weak on-chain activity such as falling TVL and user engagement.
Short-term technicals have shown periodic rebounds, but broader trend remains bearish unless key levels are reclaimed.
🔥 What’s Driving XPL’s Volatility
📌 Launch & Initial Momentum
Plasma’s mainnet launch initially sparked strong rallies with ecosystem integrations (Binance, Chainlink, stablecoin support) and price surges early on.
🧨 Sell Pressure From Unlocks
A major token unlock event (tens of millions of XPL) recently triggered selling ahead of distribution, deepening the downtrend.
📉 On-Chain Activity Weakness
Stablecoin supply and total value locked (TVL) on Plasma have contracted sharply, indicating cooling network usage.
🐋 Whale Influence & Liquidity Risks
Pre-market and early trading saw whale-driven volatility and liquidity imbalances, making price swings more extreme than fundamentals alone would suggest.
📊 Technical & Price Structure
Support zones: Analysts are watching consolidation around ~$0.68–$0.78 as key support. $XPL
Resistance to overcome: Reclaiming and holding above ~$1.00 would be bullish but remains unconfirmed in current cycles.
Trend bias: Currently bearish to neutral — downtrend but with short-lived rebounds often seen after sharp drops.
📅 Forecast & Analyst Sentiment
Some forecasts still mention potential rebounds or extended targets if the market structure improves (e.g., a move back toward prior resistance zones).
However, most projections remain cautious due to weak fundamentals and competing network activity.
#XPL #Plasma #RiskAssetsMarketShock
