U.S. inflation just hit an 8-month low on CPI, while Core CPI dropped to a 5-year low 📉. Yet cracks are forming elsewhere.
2025 non-farm payrolls were revised down by -862,000 — the worst adjustment since 2009. Large bankruptcies are at their highest level since 2009, credit card delinquencies the worst since 2011, and the vacancy-to-unemployed ratio sits at pandemic lows. Housing shows record imbalance between buyers and sellers.
Still, the Fed insists the economy remains strong, focusing mainly on inflation.
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