🧵 The Brutal Truth About Trading

1️⃣ EV Formula is your compass

(Win rate × Avg win) – (Loss rate × Avg loss).

If you don’t know this number, you’re guessing.

2️⃣ High win rate ≠ profits

Risk/reward balance matters more than bragging about % wins.$SOL

SOL

124.31

+1.30%

3️⃣ Small samples lie

One good week doesn’t mean you’ve “cracked the code.” Variance hides the truth.

4️⃣ Oversized positions = death

The risk of ruin skyrockets when you bet too big. Survival > ego.

5️⃣ Protect your capital

Lose 50% → need 100% just to recover. Defense > offense.$BTC

BTC

88,490.13

+0.72%

6️⃣ Consistency beats brilliance

One big win is luck. Steady compounding is wealth.

👉 The real edge isn’t prediction.

It’s math, discipline & patience.