#crypto market
Pulse
- *BTC & ETH set the tone*: market holds *constructive* if BTC keeps *structurally higher lows* and ETH follows; a lose of *key supports* → alts get messy fast.
- *Alts*: high-beta names run *only when BTC is stable*; most are still *BTC-betas with hype overlays* (memes/AI/RWA rotate quickly).
- *Liquidity*: weekends = thin, whipsaws common — size small, alerts > guts.
Drivers right now
1. *Macro/USD + yields* (still the gravity).
2. *ETF/flow & stablecoin mints* (real demand vs futures lev).
3. *Reg/headlines* (binary spikes).
4. *Exchange liquidity & funding* (perp froth → liquidations).
Map (framework)
- *Bull continuation*: BTC *holds ≥ support* → rotate to *ETH → majors → select alts*; look for *volume-backed* breakouts, not low-float pumps.
- *Risk-off*: lose *BTC support* → *cash up, de-risk*, wait for *lower-timeframe reversal* + volume. Most alts bleed *harder*.
- *Playbook*: *define invalidation first*, *scale*, and *take some profit*—no heroes.