$BTC Q:
A friend sent me a screenshot of the BTC chart on the weekly cycle timeframe and asked me:
“Which team are you on right now, short or long?”
A:
My answer: Team Short.
My reason is quite simple.
The halving is usually a major event that attracts many cycle traders into the market.
However, even with such strong sentiment, Bitcoin was only able to reach around 126K.
From that, I noticed something interesting.
If during the biggest hype the price was not able to push higher, then when sentiment starts to weaken, the probability of downward pressure becomes greater.
Of course, this is not a certainty.
It is simply market probability logic.
Looking at the current market psychology, there is a possibility that some traders are starting to:
• take profits
• reduce their exposure
• or even exit the market
When this happens, it often creates what is known as a liquidity vacuum.
As buying liquidity begins to thin out, price often moves lower to search for new buyers at lower levels.
Note:
Beyond all of that, I am simply a trader who looks for liquidity.
I do not really care whether the price goes up or down.
I just follow where the liquidity flows — and that is where I position myself.#BTC2026prediction
