#MarchFedMeeting

The Federal Reserve's March 2026 meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, and market expectations are mixed. Here's what you need to know:

- *Interest Rate Decision*: The Fed is likely to hold rates steady at 3.50%-3.75%, with a possible cut in June or September ¹ ² ³.

- *Inflation Concerns*: Rising oil prices (near $100/barrel) and geopolitical tensions are fueling inflation fears, making a rate hike possible, with a 25% probability priced in for 2026 ³ ⁴.

- *Economic Outlook*: The Fed's dual mandate focuses on price stability and employment. With inflation above target (2.9% PCE) and labor market softening (4.4% unemployment), policymakers are cautious ² ⁵.

- *Market Impact*:

- Mortgage rates: Expected to drop to 6.0-6.5% by June 2026.

- Savings rates: Likely to fall to 3.0-3.5% by December 2026.

- Bonds: Prices may rise, with 10-year Treasuries gaining 5-8%.

The Fed's Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) will provide insight into policymakers' views on inflation, growth, and rates ².