$VELO has one of the more interesting seasonal patterns when you zoom out and compare years. In 2024 the orange line tells the story — from near flat in February it ran over 600% by May, pulled back, then made another run toward 400% by September before cooling off into year end. That 2024 performance is sitting at 575.75% for the full year. That's not a small number.

Fast forward to 2026 and #Velo is currently down 34.74% year to date — the blue line hugging the bottom of the chart. But here's what makes this worth paying attention to: 2023 looked almost identical at this point in the year, flat and quiet near the lows, before the March breakout that started the entire 2024 rally. The setup going into the historically strong March–May window is similar.

2025 was the outlier — down 77% for the year and never recovered. That's the risk case and it's real. But 2024 showed what VELO can do when conditions align and the seasonal window opens.

What to Watch

Historical strength window: March through May based on 2024 pattern
Current positioning: Down 34.74% YTD — still in accumulation territory if 2024 repeats
Risk case: 2025 showed seasonal patterns can completely fail — down 77% with no recovery
Confirmation: Price action in March needs to show momentum building to validate the seasonal thesis

$VELO's best year started exactly where 2026 is sitting right now. That doesn't guarantee a repeat but the seasonal setup is worth watching closely through March and April. History doesn't always repeat but it rhymes often enough to pay attention.