#energy
🚨THE ENERGY SHOCK COULD TURN INTO A FISCAL PROBLEM
Governments are shielding consumers from soaring energy costs they can't afford with money they don't have.
- China, Hungary and Japan have capped prices at the gas pump.
- Georgia suspended its 33¢/gallon gas tax.
- The UK to help shoulder heating fuel bills.
- New Zealand is sending $120/month to households.
The problem: Global public debt hit $100 TRILLION before the war started.
Interest rates are far higher than during COVID or the 2022 energy crisis.
Every fiscal intervention now comes at a much steeper cost.
"This idea that whenever there's a shock we'll issue more debt has been policy for 25 years. The trade-offs are more stark now." — Kenneth Rogoff, Harvard
The longer the Persian Gulf crisis lasts, the deeper the fiscal hole.
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