نشر
Just had dinner with a friend who works in Gulf diplomacy. Smart guy. 20 years in the region. Something felt off though.
He kept circling back to one phrase: "They're not seeing the board."
Finally asked what he meant. His response floored me.
"Israel bombs Iran's gas field — Iran retaliates by bombing Qatar's gas field. Israel bombs Iran's steel plants — Iran retaliates by bombing UAE's aluminum facility. Every single time, Iran hits a neighbor instead of hitting back at Israel. And nobody in the region is connecting the dots."
He'd been watching this pattern for weeks. Iran keeps getting provoked into attacking the very countries it should be allied with. And the coalition that could challenge Israel is tearing itself apart from the inside.
Made me think about chess. The best players don't beat you by attacking your king directly. They turn your own pieces against each other.
But maybe no one in the region has realized they're the pieces.
We're watching one of the most effective divide-and-conquer strategies play out in real time. Classic geopolitics, ancient playbook.
Don't get me wrong — every country involved has agency and makes their own decisions.
But thinking out loud, if Iran keeps retaliating against Gulf neighbors instead of the country that actually attacked them first… the region is doing Israel's work for them.
COPIED
$NOM
{spot}(NOMUSDT)
$SIREN
{future}(SIRENUSDT)
$NIGHT
{spot}(NIGHTUSDT)
He kept circling back to one phrase: "They're not seeing the board."
Finally asked what he meant. His response floored me.
"Israel bombs Iran's gas field — Iran retaliates by bombing Qatar's gas field. Israel bombs Iran's steel plants — Iran retaliates by bombing UAE's aluminum facility. Every single time, Iran hits a neighbor instead of hitting back at Israel. And nobody in the region is connecting the dots."
He'd been watching this pattern for weeks. Iran keeps getting provoked into attacking the very countries it should be allied with. And the coalition that could challenge Israel is tearing itself apart from the inside.
Made me think about chess. The best players don't beat you by attacking your king directly. They turn your own pieces against each other.
But maybe no one in the region has realized they're the pieces.
We're watching one of the most effective divide-and-conquer strategies play out in real time. Classic geopolitics, ancient playbook.
Don't get me wrong — every country involved has agency and makes their own decisions.
But thinking out loud, if Iran keeps retaliating against Gulf neighbors instead of the country that actually attacked them first… the region is doing Israel's work for them.
COPIED
$NOM
{spot}(NOMUSDT)
$SIREN
{future}(SIRENUSDT)
$NIGHT
{spot}(NIGHTUSDT)
إخلاء المسؤولية: تتضمن آراء أطراف خارجية. ليست نصيحةً مالية. يُمكن أن تحتوي على مُحتوى مُمول. اطلع على الشروط والأحكام.