Prediction market data from Kalshi shows rising expectations that the Federal Reserve may not cut rates at all in 2026, with odds climbing toward 40%.

This shift reflects growing concerns over persistent inflation and geopolitical risks, particularly linked to Middle East tensions impacting energy prices. �

New York Post

Higher oil prices and macro uncertainty are reinforcing expectations that the Fed could maintain restrictive monetary policy longer than expected, reducing the likelihood of easing. $RAVE $TRADOOR #US-IranTalksFailToReachAgreement