What’s going well
$BITCOIN recently hit record highs — over $125,000 in October. Aurpay+3Investopedia+3The Economic Times+3
Historical “seasonality” favours November: one analysis shows BTC has averaged ~42% gains in Novembers since 2013. AInvest+1
Key support levels are holding for now: e.g., around ~$109 000–$110 000. Aurpay+1
Reduced leverage (futures open interest) and strong institutional interest are cited as positives for Bitcoin’s structural outlook. MarketWatch+1
⚠️ Risks & headwinds
The near-term sentiment is bearish to neutral: technical indicators and forecasts suggest caution. CoinCodex+1
Macro backdrop is uncertain: e.g., interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may be delayed, geopolitical/tariff risks are present. Barron's+1
If key support (around ~$108 000) breaks, downside scenarios point toward ~$90 000 or even ~$70 000. Barron's+1
🔍 Key levels & outlook
Support zone: ~$108 000–$110 000; hold that and the bullish scenario remains intact.
Resistance zone: Breaking above ~$115 000–$120 000 could open up a move toward ~$130 000+. Coin Edition+1
Bull case: With seasonality + structural inflows, end-of-year targets in the ~$140 000–$160 000+ range are discussed. AInvest
Bear case: With support failure + macro stress, target drops to ~$90 000 or lower. Aurpay+1
Bottom line: Bitcoin is at a pivot point. The structural backdrop is positive, but the risk of a correction is real if support fails or macro shocks hit. Traders/investors should watch the ~$108K support and ~$115K breakout zone closely for cues.
This is not investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile; always do your own research.
Latest Bitcoin & crypto news

Barron's
Bitcoin and XRP Prices Fall. What November Holds for Cryptos After Rough Month.
7 days ago



MarketWatch
After major deleveraging, bitcoin now has 'significant upside' and looks more attractive than gold, claims JPMorgan
4 days ago



Investopedia
Bitcoin Touches Record Price Above $125,000
Oct 5, 2025#USGovShutdownEnd?
