TRIA PERPETUAL SUPPLY ZONE REJECTION SHORT SETUP
Pair: $TRIA
Current Price: 0.04510
Session Change: +7.66%
Timeframe: 4H
Market Overview
$TRIA has spiked 7.66 percent into a blue supply zone between 0.04508 and 0.04702 after recovering from the 0.03484 base. Arrow points sharply downward toward 0.03484 and volume at 3.05M is well below MA5 at 9.26M. Funding at 30.53 percent is elevated.
Technical Analysis
· MA7 at 0.04282, MA14 at 0.04098 and MA28 at 0.03998 all below price in bullish order but lagging well behind the spike
· Volume at 3.05M against MA5 at 9.26M, spike into supply on 33 percent of average volume
· Supply zone between 0.04508 and 0.04702 is the proven resistance from the previous distribution
· Funding at 30.53 percent elevated, longs paying a significant rate while pressing resistance
Trade Scenarios
Bullish Case: Price breaks above 0.04702 on a 4H close with volume above MA5. Zone clears and price targets 0.05000 and above.
Bearish Case: Zone holds, funding flushes longs and price drops back toward MA7 at 0.04282 then the arrow target at 0.03484.
Smart Trader Insight
Low volume spike into a proven supply zone with 30 percent funding is a distribution setup. The previous rejection from this zone was aggressive and the current approach lacks the volume to break through convincingly.
Risk Management
· Entry Zone: 0.04508 to 0.04702, short on rejection
· Stop Loss: 4H close above 0.04702
· Take Profit 1: 0.04282, MA7 level
· Take Profit 2: 0.04093, mid support
· Take Profit 3: 0.03484, arrow target and structural base
· Leverage: 2x to 3x
· Invalidation: 4H close above 0.04702
Risk Warning: Turnover at 2.57M is low. 30.53 percent funding can flip into a squeeze. Monitor closely and exit above 0.04702 without hesitation.
Final Verdict
Low volume approach into a proven supply zone with elevated funding. Short the rejection, stop above 0.04702 and target 0.03484. Above 0.04702 this trade is done.
