This cycle feels harder because the historical patterns are conflicting ⚠️📉
If $BTC avoids a sharp drop in the next 2–3 weeks, WMA5 crossing above WMA25 could signal the bear market is ending 🐂📈
But at the same time, price is approaching the SMA200 — and historically, many rallies died there before another deep leg down.
Q4 performance underdelivered, altseason never truly arrived, yet the 4-year cycle still hasn’t fully broken 🤔
That’s why conviction alone isn’t enough anymore.
Risk management matters more than prediction 🎯
Currently sitting around 30% exposure after trimming above 50% near 81k.
If momentum confirms, I’ll scale back in.
If this turns into a fake breakout, I’m ready for BTC 40k–60k reload zones 🧊💰
Not trying to perfectly call tops or bottoms anymore — just focusing on holding the right position for the next 2–4 years 🚀$BTC
