$BTC rejected almost perfectly from the 82K region, exactly the level I’ve been warning about for weeks. I told you many times that this zone was a major resistance area and a place where I would continue adding short positions.
Since the rejection, Bitcoin has already dropped more than 5%, but my plan has not changed. My limit orders between 85K–86K are still open and waiting to be filled if the market gives one final push higher.
Right now, my average short entry is sitting around 81K.
Let me remind you how this entire move played out.
When Bitcoin was trading around 124K–125K, I started heavily shorting and warned that BTC would eventually fall below 100K. After the drop below 100K, I told you the downside was still not finished, and Bitcoin continued falling toward the 77K–74K region.
Then the market bounced toward 97K, and once again I warned that the rally was temporary and started adding more shorts around 97K. That move brought my average entry lower over time while I continued managing positions carefully.
Later, when Bitcoin dropped toward 60K, I clearly said that a relief rally toward 82K–85K was still possible before the next major move down.
Now look where we are today.
Bitcoin touched the exact zone again, and I added more shorts between 79K–82K. I have remained bearish on Bitcoin for almost 7–8 months straight, and my higher timeframe view still has not changed.
I still believe Bitcoin is heading below 50K, and possibly even toward the 40K region. If lower support levels start breaking, then we can discuss even deeper targets later, but for now my focus remains the same: manage positions properly and continue building shorts into resistance.
My strategy has always been simple and transparent.
When I long the market, I tell you.
When I short the market, I tell you.
Now let’s talk about the bigger macro picture.
One of the major upcoming catalysts is the next Fed Chair transition. A new Fed Chair is expected to take over soon, and that alone could bring massive uncertainty and volatility into both crypto and stock markets.
At the same time, political uncertainty remains extremely high. Trump changes his tone constantly, one day bullish, another day aggressive. Markets are reacting emotionally to headlines, and this creates unstable price action that can quickly reverse at any moment.
Even if rate cuts happen later, I still believe the broader stock market is heading lower. Whether it crashes suddenly or bleeds slowly, the structure looks weak underneath the surface, very similar to what happened with Bitcoin before major corrections.
Another key risk remains global war tensions.
Peace talks continue, but the situation can escalate again at any moment. Both sides are still preparing, oil markets remain under pressure, inflation risks continue rising, and these factors can become major triggers for both stocks and crypto to move sharply lower.
This is why I remain heavily bearish overall despite short term pumps.
Most influencers spend Sundays resting.
I spend Sundays studying charts, tracking macro conditions, and preparing detailed updates like this for you guys.
It takes a lot of time and energy, but the goal is simple:
help people avoid major losses and position themselves correctly before the crowd realizes what’s happening.
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