A Trump-linked whale opened a $16.8 million oil short hours before a US-Iran peace deal is set to be announced.

Peace = lower oil.

The trade is perfectly positioned for an event that hasn't happened publicly yet.

The size is institutional. The timing is suspicious. The direction is unmistakable.

Probably nothing. #TrumpSaysIranDealLargelyNegotiated #FenwickWestSettlesFTXFor54M