๐ Market Snapshot
Asset: XAUAUD (Gold/Australian Dollar)
Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1)
Recent Structure: Strong bullish rally โ followed by consolidation
Current Price: โ 6390.79
Open Position: Sell 1.00 Lot @ 6381.94
Take Profit (TP): 6360.00
Current Status: Unrealized P/L โ โ7,907 (price moved against the sell entry)
https://ct.icmarkets.com/signal?s=XAUAUD&d=sell&o=market&tp=6360&u=WebbersPro
๐ฏ Why the Sell Position?
The trade idea is built on the expectation of a technical correction after a powerful upside move:
๐ 1. Exhaustion Signs After the Rally
The strong rally from Nov 24โ25 created overextended conditions.
Candles near the 6420โ6430 region show long upper wicks, indicating:
Buyers are struggling to push higher
Sellers are actively entering near the highs
Momentum is weakening
๐ 2. Consolidation Zone on Nov 26
Price movement turned choppy and indecisive, a typical signal that the market is preparing for either:
A correction, or
A trend continuation
The sell trade anticipates the pullback.
โ ๏ธ What Comes Next? Key Levels to Watch
The market is at a critical juncture. Everything depends on how price reacts around major levels:
๐ฅ Key Resistance: 6430
This is the barrier between correction and continuation.
๐ Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1 โ Correction (Favorable for Sell Position)
If sellers defend the 6430 resistance and price breaks below 6380,
๐ Expect a fast drop toward the 6360 TP zone.
Technical pressure supports a deeper pullback.
Scenario 2 โ Trend Continuation (Risk to Sell Position)
If buyers break above 6430,
๐ The uptrend resumes with fresh upside momentum.
In this case, the sell position requires:
A Stop Loss, or
Manual management to limit further drawdown
๐ง Professional Insight
This setup highlights a common market behavior:
โก Strong moves often lead to consolidation, and that consolidation becomes the battleground between continuation and reversal.