OpenAI is leading the IPO race at 75% on Polymarket 🤖
Anthropic sits at 25% chance, down 42%.
The market held steady near 67% for most of May before a near vertical drop around May 19 brought odds down to the mid-20s almost instantly.
The chart has flatlined around 25% since, suggesting the market reached a firm conclusion following a specific development.
A single event repriced this market by over 40 percentage points in a matter of hours, reflecting just how reactive prediction markets can be to real world news.
75% of capital is now positioned against Anthropic going first, with $63,926 in volume traded on this prediction.
The race between two of the most closely watched AI companies in the world is live on Polymarket.
As more users enter markets like this one, assets like $DOGE and $SOL ontinue to see growing activity across the platform.