🚨 BREAKING !!!
FED HOLDS RATES AT 3.75% - RAISES INFLATION FORECAST, CUTS GDP OUTLOOK 🏦📉
Warsh chairs his first #FOMC meeting and delivers exactly what markets feared - rates held at 3.75%, inflation stubbornly above target, and GDP growth cut to 2.2%. The dovish pivot is officially off the table until 2027 at the earliest.
• 📊 Rates Held: 3.75% unchanged - market expected it, but the updated dot plot tells the real story. 2026 rate forecast raised to 3.8%, 2027 at 3.6%, no cuts coming soon
• 🔥 Inflation Sticky: PCE not expected to hit the 2% target until 2028 - energy supply shocks and Iran-related uncertainty keeping price pressure elevated
• 📉 Growth Cut: 2026 GDP forecast slashed to 2.2% - stagflation risk quietly building as Trump pressure on Fed intensifies
UBS already pushed rate cut expectations to March 2027 and today confirms it. The long-term rate forecast ticking down to 3.063% is the only dovish signal - but that is 2028 territory. For crypto and risk assets, the message is clear: liquidity stays tight, macro headwind remains. Any BTC rally from here needs to fight the rate environment, not ride it. 💡
