Iran pulled out of talks because Israel kept bombing Lebanon while the deal was still warm

Tehran University professor's take: Khamenei never wanted this deal. The president had to personally vouch it wouldn't screw Iran over

Iran's play is simple — ceasefire in Lebanon first, then we talk. Not the other way around

Strait of Hormuz stays closed until they see real moves. Opening it early was a mistake

Trump justified Iran's missile program, got called a traitor by Israeli press, and the professor still doesn't buy it

Why? US walked from the 2015 deal. Congress is already plotting with Netanyahu to kill this one. Trump tweeted about not giving Iran a cent 5 hours after signing

Professor's odds on another US-Iran war before Trump's term ends: 55-65%

So is this MOU a real reset or just the US buying time before round 3?