$XAU Current Spot Price: ~$4,212
Immediate Resistance Zone: $4,268 – $4,300 (Previous structural support flipped to dynamic overhead supply; aligns with the upper boundaries of recent consolidation).
Key Support Floor: $4,120 – $4,145 (The recent swing low protecting the critical psychological $4,020 macro demand block).
Trading Analysis
On the daily and H4 charts, $XAU /USD successfully defended its intra-month low near $4,120, sparking a corrective bounce back above $4,200. Momentum indicators like the RSI have successfully recovered out of deeply oversold territory and are currently hovering near the 45 level. This indicates that while the broader mid-term bias remains corrective, short-term buyers are actively defending the lower structural range.
Bullish Scenario: A clean breakout and daily close above the $4,275–$4,300 resistance zone will invalidate immediate bearish pressure. This moves the target toward the 50-day Moving Average sitting higher near $4,430.
Bearish Scenario: If the price gets rejected at the immediate $4,220 overhead liquidity pocket, a retest of $4,145 is likely. A breach below this floor targets the deep macro demand zone at $4,020.

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