**Bitcoin's Midterm Curse: A Structural Threat to the Four-Year Cycle ๐**
Bitcoin's historical four-year cycle faces a significant challenge: the "midterm election year" phenomenon. Quantitative analysis reveals a pattern of severe contraction during these periods. Annual losses hit 58.82% in 2014, 74.59% in 2018, and 64.21% in 2022. ๐
Despite some "green" accumulation months, the cumulative yearly return consistently settles in deep negative territory, as heatmap data clearly shows. This bearish gravity has historically led to substantial drawdowns. โ ๏ธ
For institutional strategists, current analysis suggests the potential for a defensive regime in upcoming cycles. The market may struggle to maintain post-halving momentum amidst tightening global liquidity. If history holds true, the probability of another "red year" for Bitcoin is significantly high.
This structural pattern signals a necessary shift: away from aggressive expansion towards capital preservation. The midterm year phenomenon has historically marked the deepest drawdown phases within Bitcoin's broader four-year cycle. ๐ก๏ธ
