Despite the government shutdown disrupting schedules, the U.S. economy delivered a surprising performance in Q3 2025, showing resilience and momentum. Real GDP grew 4.3% year-on-year, outpacing the 3.8% recorded in the spring, driven by strong consumer spending—particularly on healthcare and tech products—alongside a boost from government stimulus. Businesses, however, remained cautious, limiting investments and keeping inventory growth in check, while exports increased and imports fell, contributing positively to overall economic output.

For households, the economic gains come with a caveat: prices are rising. The price index jumped to 3.4%, up from 2.0% last quarter, while core inflation, excluding volatile food and energy prices, edged up to 2.9%. This means that while the economy appears strong, the cost of living continues to climb, impacting purchasing power. Corporate profits saw a dramatic surge of $166.1 billion compared to a modest $6.8 billion in Q2, although some major companies faced significant legal settlements, reflecting ongoing regulatory and compliance challenges.

Looking ahead, the data underscores the importance of financial vigilance. With growth robust and inflation persistent, reviewing variable-rate loans, budgeting carefully, and planning for early 2026 are prudent steps. The next economic update is scheduled for January 22, which will provide further insights into the trajectory of growth and inflation. Disclaimer: Not financial advice.

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