Bitcoin vs. Gold: The Mathematics of Inevitable Superiority? 🧐📈
Analyst David Eng has presented a compelling model proving that the first cryptocurrency will inevitably overtake gold as the ultimate store of value. Here are the key arguments and calculations:
🤯 The Superiority of Mechanics, not Narratives
Eng argues that the physics and mathematics of Bitcoin make the monetary role of gold obsolete.
Gold: Has elastic supply. Price increases stimulate mining, raising issuance by 1-2% annually and diluting the asset's value.Bitcoin: Supply is strictly fixed at 21 million coins. Demand is accumulated as thermodynamic work (energy expenditure for security/hashrate), not diluted by new issuance. Halving exponentially increases the energy cost of producing a coin.
📊 Conservative Forecast: 18 Years to the Top
The expert built a model, deliberately understating BTC's growth rate:
Starting Conditions: Gold's market cap ~$30 trillion, Bitcoin's ~$1.8 trillion (a 16.7x difference in favor of the metal).Hypotheses: Gold grows by 2% annually, while BTC doubles in price every four years (around 19% annually, significantly below its historical average).Result: According to the equation, Bitcoin will overtake gold in 18 years, reaching a market capitalization of ~$30 trillion and a price of about $1.5 million per coin!
⚠️ Realities of 2025: Gold Leads for Now
Despite the long-term forecasts, current dynamics show the opposite:
Since the beginning of 2025, gold has soared by more than 70%.Bitcoin, over the same period, has decreased by 6.6%.
Gold remains a "safe haven" amid geopolitical instability, while Bitcoin acts as a volatile risk asset.
What do you think about the long-term forecast? Will Bitcoin become the new gold? 👇
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