๐Ÿšจ BREAKING: FED PAUSE IS NOW THE BASE CASE โ€” MARKETS ADJUST ๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ’ก


๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Markets are increasingly convinced the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady at its January meeting.


๐Ÿ“Š Current probability snapshot (Dec 25):

๐Ÿ”’ 84.5% โ€” No rate change

โœ‚๏ธ 15.5% โ€” Rate cut


๐ŸŽ„ No early New Year gift from the Fed this time.


๐Ÿง  What the market is telling us

โ€ข Expectations for early easing are being pushed further out

โ€ข A January rate cut is almost fully priced out

โ€ข Investors now anticipate policy inaction to start the year


๐Ÿ‘‰ Translation: Restrictive rates stay in place โ€” for now.


๐Ÿ’ธ Why this matters for crypto

When rates remain high:

โ€ข USD strength persists

โ€ข Liquidity tightens

โ€ข Risk assets face pressure


Weโ€™re already seeing it:

โ€ข Slowing Bitcoin ETF inflows

โ€ข Stablecoin supply contraction

โ€ข More selective, cautious speculation


๐Ÿ“Œ Macro tailwinds for crypto are fading in the short term. Markets may need to rely more on internal narratives and volatility, not central bank support.


๐ŸŒช๏ธ And thenโ€ฆ crypto does what crypto does

๐Ÿš€ BIFI shock move โ€” no explanation needed

โ€ข Price exploded from $20 โ†’ $7,551

โ€ข Time taken: ~10 minutes


No macro trigger.

No warning.

Just pure liquidity chaos.


๐Ÿ”ฅ Final takeaway

๐Ÿ“‰ Macro says: Stay cautious

๐Ÿ“ˆ Crypto says: Rules donโ€™t always apply


Even when the Fed pauses, crypto reminds everyone it still moves on its own clock.


#BREAKING #InterestRates #CryptoNews #Bitcoin #Volatility

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