๐จ BREAKING: FED PAUSE IS NOW THE BASE CASE โ MARKETS ADJUST ๐๐ก
๐บ๐ธ Markets are increasingly convinced the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady at its January meeting.
๐ Current probability snapshot (Dec 25):
๐ 84.5% โ No rate change
โ๏ธ 15.5% โ Rate cut
๐ No early New Year gift from the Fed this time.
๐ง What the market is telling us
โข Expectations for early easing are being pushed further out
โข A January rate cut is almost fully priced out
โข Investors now anticipate policy inaction to start the year
๐ Translation: Restrictive rates stay in place โ for now.
๐ธ Why this matters for crypto
When rates remain high:
โข USD strength persists
โข Liquidity tightens
โข Risk assets face pressure
Weโre already seeing it:
โข Slowing Bitcoin ETF inflows
โข Stablecoin supply contraction
โข More selective, cautious speculation
๐ Macro tailwinds for crypto are fading in the short term. Markets may need to rely more on internal narratives and volatility, not central bank support.
๐ช๏ธ And thenโฆ crypto does what crypto does
๐ BIFI shock move โ no explanation needed
โข Price exploded from $20 โ $7,551
โข Time taken: ~10 minutes
No macro trigger.
No warning.
Just pure liquidity chaos.
๐ฅ Final takeaway
๐ Macro says: Stay cautious
๐ Crypto says: Rules donโt always apply
Even when the Fed pauses, crypto reminds everyone it still moves on its own clock.
#BREAKING #InterestRates #CryptoNews #Bitcoin #Volatility
$BIFI



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