Silver has suddenly become very dangerous — it's hit a truly alarming level, and bubble talk is everywhere! Many analysts and technical indicators are sounding the alarm for a possible sharp 30-40% correction (or even deeper) due to extreme overbought conditions. RSI and momentum readings are flashing levels not seen in decades — history shows that when silver stretches this far this fast, big pullbacks usually follow (think 2011-style rally unwind).Current Situation (as of December 27, 2025):Silver per ounce → Trading around $79-79.5 (some sources show peaks at $79.57+ today, after smashing records — up ~5-10% in the last day alone).
Gram silver (Turkey) → Around 108-110 TL (exploded higher with USD/TRY moves).
Year-to-date: ≈170%+ in USD, ≈190%+ in TL — absolute insanity!
But danger bells are ringing loud — Why a 40% drop is on the table?Key risks driving this warning:Extreme technical overbought → Daily/weekly RSI deep in danger zone (80+ in many readings, highest in 45+ years on some timeframes). History screams 30-50% corrections after these levels.
Fed/rate expectations shift → 2026 rate cuts were baked in, but hawkish surprises, inflation spikes, or stronger dollar could crush non-yielding assets like silver.
Speculative bubble vibes → Year-end low-volume speculation fueled the spike. Profit-taking + thin liquidity = recipe for a fast, brutal crash.
Industrial demand slowdown risk → Solar, EVs, electronics still strong, but global slowdown (China etc.) could hit demand hard despite supply deficits.
Analyst takes:Many now forecast a correction in early 2026 (20-40% pullbacks common after overbought spikes).
Long-term still bullish (talk of $100+ eventually), but short-term risk is sky-high — "wait for the dip" is the smart play.
Quick take + chat fuel:Full rocket mode right now, but turbulence incoming. If you're holding silver: Think about taking profits (at least partial) — a 40% drop could send gram back to 60-70 TL (~$50-55/oz range).
Or hold tight and view any crash as a mega buying opportunity.#siver