#U.S. Treasury Market Shows Strain

Settlement failures for 10-year U.S. Treasury notes surged to $30.5B in a single week—highest since 2017—highlighting serious liquidity stress.Key Drivers:Federal Reserve’s quantitative tightening (QT) draining liquidity.Scarcity of 10-year notes in repo markets.Post-crisis regulations limiting dealer capacity

Technical Snapshot:

Yield consolidating in a 2.5-year symmetrical triangle, resistance at 4.6%.Breakout above 4.6% could push yields toward 5.0%.TLT shows mixed signals: short-term sell vs. MACD buy; support at $85–$9Exercise caution. Watch for a confirmed breakout in yields or trend reversal in Treasury ETFs before entering positions.The Treasury market is signaling stress—volatility is coming. ⚠️

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