$1000LUNC 🎯 TP Probability Breakdown
🔹 TP 1: 0.04120–0.04150
✅ High probability
Needs only mild volume increase
Good scalp exit
🔹 TP 2: 0.04240
⚠️ Moderate
Requires volume expansion + EMA(25) reclaim
🔹 TP 3: 0.04300
❌ Low–Moderate
Needs:
Clean break above 0.0425
No long upper wicks
Volume > MA(10)
📌 Without volume, price will reject again
📉 Downside Risk
If 0.03950 breaks with volume:
Next stops:
0.03900
0.03860
Structure turns bearish intraday
Longs become trap
❌ Not an uptrend yet
✅ Holding key support
⚠️ Needs volume to move up
🎯 Best realistic TP: 0.0415 → 0.0424
🚨 Invalidation: Below 0.0390
