👀 Market expectations reflected in the FedWatch tool suggest that a rate cut in January remains a low-probability outcome. Current pricing implies roughly a 16.6% chance that the Federal Reserve lowers rates by 25 basis points at the next meeting.
By contrast, investors are largely positioned for stability, with about an 83.4% probability assigned to the central bank keeping policy rates unchanged. The balance of probabilities highlights a market that expects patience from the #Fed rather than an immediate policy shift.
