Images and videos circulating online claim that Nicolás Maduro is in US custody.
As of now, official confirmation remains limited, but markets don’t trade confirmation — they trade risk, probability, and exposure.
Why this is a major macro event:
Venezuela holds the largest proven oil reserves in the world — over ~300 billion barrels of crude oil.
Any sudden political disruption here is not local news; it’s global energy risk.
Immediate market implications:
🛢 Crude Oil
Political instability in an oil-rich nation adds a risk premium
Even without supply loss, prices react to uncertainty and sanctions risk
🟡 Gold
Benefits from geopolitical stress and confidence erosion
First destination for institutional hedging
🟠 Bitcoin (BTC)
Short term: volatility as markets de-risk
Medium term: strengthens as a non-sovereign, fixed-supply asset
Narratives around monetary debasement and capital controls resurface during geopolitical shocks
📌 Bitcoin doesn’t respond to arrests or headlines —
📌 It responds to policy reactions, inflation risk, and loss of trust.
Key takeaway:
Markets price uncertainty before facts.
Capital moves before confirmation.
This is a moment to track positioning, not chase emotion.
