CYCLES ARE STILL ALIVE!.I want to disappoint those who have already buried the 4-year $BTC cycles.Willy Woo shared charts that completely break this narrative.Capital flows are following the same cyclical pattern as before.The mechanics didn’t break, the market is simply maturing
What does the data show?
Capital inflow peaks are getting lower with each cycle.Cooling phases are gradually getting longer.So the cyclical nature remains, even if the shape of the cycles is changing.
Why did everyone decide cycles are dead?
$BTC failed to meet upside expectations this year and mass FUD kicked in.So most people claim the classic model is broken forever.But the data shows otherwise: cycle mechanics still work, the pace is just slower.The market now needs more capital to move due to changes in liquidity structure.Until new, non-cyclical sources of capital appear, cycles remain intact
My view?
What we’re seeing now looks more like time compression stretching out
Expectations of fast results no longer match the new structure
So I believe the issue isn’t with the cycles, but with our expectations of them
