📉 Will Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Trigger a Major Correction in 2026?
If Bitcoin’s historical 4-year cycle continues to play out as it has in the past, 2026 could mark a heavy correction phase — unless a truly game-changing catalyst alters the structure.
Bitcoin has rarely moved randomly. Across multiple eras, it has followed a remarkably consistent rhythm tied to halving cycles.
📊 Looking Back at Previous Cycles
Roughly two years after each halving, Bitcoin has historically entered a deep drawdown and formed a long-term bottom:
2014: −87% (from ~$1,240 → ~$166)
2018: −84% (from ~$19,804 → ~$3,124)
2022: −77% (from ~$69,000 → ~$15,473)
Each cycle saw diminishing downside severity — but still significant corrections.
🔮 If History Rhymes Again
Assuming:
A cycle top near $126,000
A typical 70–75% correction
📉 That would imply a potential bottom in the $30,000–$37,000 range.
🧠 Personal Take
This cycle feels closer to its later stages than its early innings. The 4-year Bitcoin cycle has held up across:
Different macro environments
Regulatory shifts
Institutional adoption phases
So far, nothing has definitively broken that structure.
❓The Real Question
Will Bitcoin:
Repeat its historical cycle once again in 2026?
Or is this the cycle where structural changes finally override history?
Markets evolve — but patterns persist longer than most expect.
👇 Share your thoughts.
$BTC #Bitcoin #BTCVSGOLD #CryptoCycles
