🚨🚨 THE GAUNTLET WEEK — MARKETS ENTER THE STRESS TEST 🌪️📊
The 2026 market honeymoon is over. This week decides the Q1 narrative.
Here’s the pressure map 👇
MONDAY — TARIFF REALITY HITS
Wall Street closed, but fear isn’t.
📉 S&P 500 futures -0.7%
📉 Nasdaq futures -1.0%
Markets are pricing in Trump’s 10–25% Greenland tariffs. Risk-off vibes are real.
THURSDAY — THE DATA THAT MOVES EVERYTHING
📊 Q3 2025 GDP (final): ~4.3% expected
🔥 PCE Inflation (Fed’s favorite): 2.7–2.8% expected
Any upside surprise could kill rate-cut hopes and threaten the $600B liquidity narrative.
FRIDAY — BUSINESS CONFIDENCE CHECK
🏭 January PMI Flash
Below 50 = contraction
That’s when “Sell America” trades show up fast.
EARNINGS STORM 🌩️
~10% of S&P 500 reports
Eyes on Netflix (Jan 22), J&J, Visa, Intel, P&G
A Netflix miss — especially tied to the $83B WBD chatter — could drag tech lower.
BIG PICTURE:
We’ve shifted from vibes → variables.
The “Greenland Premium” is injecting geopolitical risk markets haven’t priced in for years.
Crypto’s already reacting 👀
📈 FRAX: 1.0856 (+1.5%)
🚀 DUSK: 0.3017 (+151.2%)
So what’s the move?
Buy the fear early…
or wait for Thursday’s PCE to see if the Fed still has our back?
This is one of those weeks positioning matters more than predictions 🔥📉📈
