What are the key risks that could push BTC below $80k by Jan 2026
Key risks could push $BTC ( Bitcoin ) below $80,000 by end of January 2026, primarily from macroeconomic pressures and market dynamics. Regulatory hurdles and technical breakdowns amplify downside potential amid current volatility around $91,000. Macroeconomic PressuresTightening Federal Reserve policy or persistent inflation above 3% raises opportunity costs for non-yielding assets like $BTC , potentially triggering sell-offs. Geopolitical tensions, such as U.S.-China trade wars or tariffs, have already caused sharp drops, with correlations to equities adding contagion risk. Technical and Market RisksOverleveraged derivatives with $39 billion in open interest heighten liquidation cascades during thin liquidity periods. Bearish options skew at $80,000–$84,000 strikes signals pro traders positioning for corrections, while breakdowns below key supports like $90,000 could accelerate to $70,000. Other ThreatsQuantum computing advances pose long-term security risks to Blockchain, spooking investors. Adverse regulations, ETF outflows, or MSCI exclusions of crypto firms could erode institutional sentiment rapidly.
