نشر
CRYPTO MECHANIC
·
--
The Strategy To Accumulate Bitcoin Over-Time
I've been trading long enough to watch dozens of blue chip alts fade into irrelevancy. Bitcoin is the only asset where I genuinely don't worry about whether or not it will exist in the next 5 or 10 years. So, what is the strategy? How do you accumulate Bitcoin over time to actually build wealth?
This is where most people go wrong. They're trying to trade Bitcoin like they do any other altcoins. They're trying to buy and sell, buy every dip, sell every top, get in and out constantly. With Bitcoin, you're much better of accumulate Bitcoin over the long term and allowing it to become part of your long-term portfolio with a multi-year, multi-decade time horizon.
This is not a strategy for trading. We're not trying to catch every single pump and dump. What we're trying to do is accumulate Bitcoin over time. So, what's the best way to do that?
Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA)
In my opinion the first one we can consider is dollar cost averaging. Buying regularly regardless of price. This is going to work for the vast majority of people. You're price agnostic and you're buying based on specific time intervals that you stick to.
Bitcoin Bull and Bear Cycles
Now, if you want to take it one level further, you can actually analyze the chart and see that Bitcoin moves in relatively predictable bull and bear cycles. Let’s take a look.
Basically, every four years in Bitcoin, we have a bull and a bear market. Every bull market, price goes up like crazy. Then we get anywhere from a 70% to 90% plus pullback before the bear market lows.
Am I saying you need to wait for Bitcoin to drop 70% plus from all-time high to buy? Of course not. But 30%, 40%, 50% buys on Bitcoin have almost always yielded a very nice entry in the not too distant future. In the bull run, we can see pullbacks from 30% to 40%, sometimes even more, before price continues higher. Generally, once we get past that 50% pullback mark, we’re in a bear market and things can trade significantly lower.
The good news is we’re not so worried about timing the bottoms and the tops. We just want to buy when price is at a discount.
Two Ways to Dollar Cost Average
In terms of dollar-cost averaging, there are really two ways to go about it:
1- Buy on predetermined time intervals, completely price agnostic.
2- Buy during massive capitulation events. When you see Bitcoin pull back 40%, 50%, 60%, sometimes more, it almost always and so far every time leads to a very well- discounted buy. You could sell at a much higher price not that long after.
If you want a dollar cost average with a little more accuracy, this is how I would do it. Look at the high timeframe charts only. Wait for those serious pullbacks on Bitcoin, and that’s when you really back up the truck. Otherwise, consistent buys over time are going to outperform almost everyone.
This isn’t that complicated, but it can be hard to execute when your emotions are very high. Seeing big red candles, those are difficult to buy. Remember, when there’s blood in the streets, that’s when we want to be looking for our opportunities. Your goal is to accumulate more Bitcoin over time because, remember, the denominator it’s worthless.
That’s all I got for this article, guys. I hope you enjoyed it.
This is where most people go wrong. They're trying to trade Bitcoin like they do any other altcoins. They're trying to buy and sell, buy every dip, sell every top, get in and out constantly. With Bitcoin, you're much better of accumulate Bitcoin over the long term and allowing it to become part of your long-term portfolio with a multi-year, multi-decade time horizon.
This is not a strategy for trading. We're not trying to catch every single pump and dump. What we're trying to do is accumulate Bitcoin over time. So, what's the best way to do that?
Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA)
In my opinion the first one we can consider is dollar cost averaging. Buying regularly regardless of price. This is going to work for the vast majority of people. You're price agnostic and you're buying based on specific time intervals that you stick to.
Bitcoin Bull and Bear Cycles
Now, if you want to take it one level further, you can actually analyze the chart and see that Bitcoin moves in relatively predictable bull and bear cycles. Let’s take a look.
Basically, every four years in Bitcoin, we have a bull and a bear market. Every bull market, price goes up like crazy. Then we get anywhere from a 70% to 90% plus pullback before the bear market lows.
Am I saying you need to wait for Bitcoin to drop 70% plus from all-time high to buy? Of course not. But 30%, 40%, 50% buys on Bitcoin have almost always yielded a very nice entry in the not too distant future. In the bull run, we can see pullbacks from 30% to 40%, sometimes even more, before price continues higher. Generally, once we get past that 50% pullback mark, we’re in a bear market and things can trade significantly lower.
The good news is we’re not so worried about timing the bottoms and the tops. We just want to buy when price is at a discount.
Two Ways to Dollar Cost Average
In terms of dollar-cost averaging, there are really two ways to go about it:
1- Buy on predetermined time intervals, completely price agnostic.
2- Buy during massive capitulation events. When you see Bitcoin pull back 40%, 50%, 60%, sometimes more, it almost always and so far every time leads to a very well- discounted buy. You could sell at a much higher price not that long after.
If you want a dollar cost average with a little more accuracy, this is how I would do it. Look at the high timeframe charts only. Wait for those serious pullbacks on Bitcoin, and that’s when you really back up the truck. Otherwise, consistent buys over time are going to outperform almost everyone.
This isn’t that complicated, but it can be hard to execute when your emotions are very high. Seeing big red candles, those are difficult to buy. Remember, when there’s blood in the streets, that’s when we want to be looking for our opportunities. Your goal is to accumulate more Bitcoin over time because, remember, the denominator it’s worthless.
That’s all I got for this article, guys. I hope you enjoyed it.
إخلاء المسؤولية: تتضمن آراء أطراف خارجية. ليست نصيحةً مالية. يُمكن أن تحتوي على مُحتوى مُمول. اطلع على الشروط والأحكام.
BTC
88,779.05
-0.83%