⚠️ Key Events This Week$BTC
This week is driven by policy risk and positioning around the Fed. A rate decision and Powell’s tone land in the middle of heavy megacap earnings, while political headlines add tail risk late in the week.
🔴Monday
• Markets react to 100% Canada tariff threat
• Markets react to 75% probability of U.S. government shutdown
These are headline-driven moves. Tariff risk feeds directly into inflation expectations and cross-border trade sentiment. Shutdown odds affect risk appetite and front-end rates through fiscal uncertainty.
🟡 Tuesday
• January Consumer Confidence
This offers a read on household demand and sentiment after recent policy noise. Weakness would lean toward growth caution rather than immediate policy repricing.
🔴Wednesday
• Fed interest rate decision
• Powell press conference
• Microsoft $MSFT earnings
• Tesla $TSLA earnings
• Meta $META earnings
This is the core event cluster. The Fed sets the policy framework, while Powell’s language shapes rate expectations. Earnings from AI and growth bellwethers test whether equity optimism can hold under tighter financial conditions.
🟡 Thursday
• Initial jobless claims
• Apple $AAPL earnings
Labor data feeds into the growth side of the Fed reaction function. Apple adds a consumer and megacap read that can spill into broader index sentiment.
🟡 Friday
• U.S. PPI inflation
• U.S. government shutdown deadline
PPI matters for the inflation pipeline and margin pressure. The shutdown deadline is a binary risk that can override macro signals if headlines escalate.
Main focus: Wednesday’s Fed decision and earnings cluster, with Friday’s shutdown deadline as a secondary risk trigger.
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