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🏛️ FEDWATCH UPDATE: WILL THE FED CUT RATES? 📉
The first FOMC meeting of 2026 is here (Jan 27-28), and the entire financial market is on edge! While there is massive public pressure for a rate cut, the CME FedWatch Tool is signaling a very different reality.
📊 Current Probabilities (January 28 Meeting):
No Change (3.50% - 3.75%): 97.2% Probability ⏸️
25 bps Rate Cut: 2.8% Probability 🔻
📅 Key Timing (Mark Your Calendars):
FOMC Statement: Wednesday, Jan 28 @ 2:00 PM EST
Powell Press Conference: Wednesday, Jan 28 @ 2:30 PM EST
💡 Why This Matters for Crypto?
"Higher for Longer" Sentiment: If the Fed leaves rates unchanged (as expected), the focus shifts entirely to Jerome Powell’s tone. A "Hawkish" (aggressive) stance could trigger a sell-off in Bitcoin and Altcoins.
March Outlook: Traders are now looking toward the March meeting, where the probability of a cut is currently rising to 15.5%.
Volatility Alert: With the FOMC meeting and Mag 7 Earnings happening simultaneously, expect massive "liquidation wicks" on Wednesday night!
⚠️ Trading Advice: Avoid high leverage during the press conference. Market volatility usually peaks as Powell speaks.
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